


When Russia invaded Ukraine in late February, the best forecasts of western media and experts alleged that Kyiv would stand until seized by the Russian army for 96 hours. However, Kyiv did not fall to the occupants, and neither did most other major Ukrainian cities. Just like the Ukrainian people, the western powers unified in the face of a threat, that many couldn’t imagine occurring in the 21st century. Several packages of sanctions against the aggressor along with military and financial assistance for Ukraine facilitated the latter in defending its territories. However, more than forty days of hostilities have passed, and it is quite clear now that the war is not going to end in the nearest perspective. The support that Ukraine has been provided with, as valuable as it is, has not proved sufficient to shift the balance on the battlefield or affect the Russian establishment and induce it to compromise. The civilized world needs to understand that the soonest achievement of peace is of utmost importance.
本周早些时候,俄军从基辅周边地区撤退后,俄罗斯士兵在布恰镇犯下暴行的画面令全世界震惊。如果战争继续,这些骇人事件很可能也会在乌克兰其他地区发生。
战争期间,乌克兰基础设施遭到严重破坏,一些城市已被俄罗斯的导弹、炸弹和火箭炮彻底摧毁。随着战事持续,修复这一切、开展重建所需的费用与日俱增。
乌克兰武装部队已证明,它们能够高效使用西方国家提供的武器装备,对抗兵力占优的俄军。乌克兰军队装备越精良,乌克兰就越接近结束战争。拖延采购无法让其积累足够数量的装备,并会妨碍其效能发挥。
西方国家几乎已用尽那些不会显著影响自身福祉的措施。然而,战争持续得越久,俄罗斯就有越多时间适应新的生存环境,这些措施的效果也会越弱,从而增加西方付出的代价。要真正发挥作用,制裁必须足够有力,才能立即对俄罗斯社会和当局造成实际影响。
公众表达的对乌克兰人的支持为西方政府创造了许多机会;西方政府可以通过援助乌克兰获得可观的声誉收益。然而,当一个议题长期占据舆论空间,而相关问题又迟迟未获解决时,公众注意力不可避免地会转移,这将使上述努力受挫。
因此,西方需要加强对乌克兰的支持,推动战争尽快结束,主要应采取以下措施:
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