{"id":35044,"date":"2026-03-19T15:37:10","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T13:37:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/?p=35044"},"modified":"2026-07-04T12:02:23","modified_gmt":"2026-07-04T09:02:23","slug":"the-social-contract-at-war-mobilization-legitimacy-and-post-war-cohesion-in-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/zh\/2026\/03\/19\/the-social-contract-at-war-mobilization-legitimacy-and-post-war-cohesion-in-ukraine\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6218\u65f6\u793e\u4f1a\u5951\u7ea6\uff1a\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u52a8\u5458\u3001\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\u4e0e\u6218\u540e\u51dd\u805a\u529b"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-block-quick-download-button-download-button aligncenter qdbn-wrapper\"><div class=\"qdbn\" data-plugin-name=\"qdbn\" data-style=\"small\" data-file=\"hide-file\" data-size=\"hide-size\" data-icon-position=\"left\"><div class=\"qdbn-download-button-inner\"><button type=\"button\" data-button-type=\"small\" class=\"g-btn f-l\" 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4H4c-1.1 0-1.99.9-1.99 2L2 18c0 1.1.9 2 2 2h16c1.1 0 2-.9 2-2V8c0-1.1-.9-2-2-2h-8l-2-2z\"><\/path><\/svg><span class=\"file-size\">891 KB<\/span><\/p><\/div><\/div><quick-download-button-info class=\"qdb-btn-info\"><\/quick-download-button-info><\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"417\" src=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-16-1024x417.png\" alt=\"Cover image for: The Social Contract at War: Mobilization, Legitimacy, and Post-War Cohesion in Ukraine\" class=\"wp-image-35045\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-16-1024x417.png 1024w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-16-600x244.png 600w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-16-768x313.png 768w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-16-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-16.png 1194w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6218\u65f6\uff0c\u5185\u90e8\u51dd\u805a\u529b\u662f\u4e00\u9879\u6218\u7565\u8d44\u6e90\u3002\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u957f\u671f\u8bd5\u56fe\u5c06\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u63cf\u7ed8\u6210\u5929\u751f\u5206\u88c2\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u505a\u6cd5\u501f\u7528\u4e86\u8f83\u65e9\u7684\u201c\u4e24\u4e2a\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u201d\u53d9\u4e8b\uff1b\u4f46\u5982\u4eca\u6700\u5177\u7834\u574f\u6027\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u4e0e\u5176\u8bf4\u662f\u533a\u57df\u6027\u7684\uff0c\u4e0d\u5982\u8bf4\u662f\u5236\u5ea6\u6027\u7684\u3002\u672c\u6587\u8bc4\u4f30\u8fd9\u4e9b\u88c2\u75d5\u5982\u4f55\u88ab\u4eba\u4e3a\u5236\u9020\uff0c\u5e76\u63d0\u51fa\u524d\u8fdb\u4e4b\u9053\u5728\u4e8e\u89e3\u51b3\u4e0e\u6cbb\u7406\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u6469\u64e6\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u62d8\u6ce5\u4e8e\u8fc7\u65f6\u7684\u6587\u5316\u5730\u56fe\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-1-how-the-two-ukraines-frame-became-a-weapon\"><strong>1. \u201c\u4e24\u4e2a\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u201d\u6846\u67b6\u5982\u4f55\u6ca6\u4e3a\u6b66\u5668<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-from-concept-to-political-technology-the-2004-inflection-point\"><strong><em>\u4ece\u6982\u5ff5\u5230\u653f\u6cbb\u6280\u672f\uff082004\u5e74\u7684\u8f6c\u6298\u70b9\uff09<\/em><\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u81f3\u4eca\u4ecd\u5e38\u88ab\u4e0d\u51c6\u786e\u5730\u7528\u201c\u897f\u2014\u4e1c\u5206\u88c2\u201d\u8fd9\u4e00\u7b80\u79f0\u6765\u63cf\u8ff0\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u6982\u5ff5\u901a\u5e38\u4e0e <a href=\"https:\/\/shron1.chtyvo.org.ua\/Riabchuk\/Two_Ukraines_Reconsidered_The_End_of_Ukrainian_Ambivalence7_anhl.pdf\">Mykola Riabchuk \u7684\u8bba\u8ff0<\/a> \u6709\u5173\uff0c\u5373\u4e24\u79cd\u5e76\u5b58\u7684\u8eab\u4efd\u8ba4\u540c\u53d6\u5411\u3002\u539f\u672c\u65e8\u5728\u6355\u6349\u540e\u82cf\u8054\u8eab\u4efd\u8ba4\u540c\u590d\u6742\u6027\u7684\u5b66\u672f\u5c1d\u8bd5\uff0c\u540e\u6765\u4e00\u518d\u88ab <a href=\"https:\/\/commons.com.ua\/en\/oligarhichna-demokratiya-ta-krizi\/\">\u91cd\u65b0\u5229\u7528 <\/a>\u4e3a\u653f\u6cbb\u5de5\u5177\uff1a\u5148\u662f\u5728\u56fd\u5185\u9009\u4e3e\u7ade\u4e89\u4e2d\uff0c\u540e\u6765\u5219\u6210\u4e3a\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u957f\u671f\u6218\u7565\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u7528\u4ee5\u5c06\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u63cf\u7ed8\u4e3a\u5728\u7ed3\u6784\u4e0a\u65e0\u6cd5\u6cbb\u7406\u3001\u56e0\u800c\u201c\u4e0d\u914d\u201d\u62e5\u6709\u4e3b\u6743\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8981\u5e94\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e00\u8106\u5f31\u6027\uff0c\u5c31\u5fc5\u987b\u8d85\u8d8a\u5c06\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u793e\u4f1a\u7b80\u5355\u5212\u5206\u4e3a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.osw.waw.pl\/en\/publikacje\/osw-commentary\/2015-08-19\/ukraines-wartime-nationalism\">&#8220;nationalist&#8221; versus &#8220;pro-Russian&#8221;<\/a> \u9635\u8425\u53ca\u5176\u89c2\u70b9\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u4e8c\u5206\u6cd5\u3002\u5e94\u4ee5\u66f4\u7cbe\u786e\u7684\u89c6\u89d2\u91cd\u65b0\u5ba1\u89c6\u653f\u6cbb\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u7406\u89e3\u8eab\u4efd\u8ba4\u540c\u5982\u4f55\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u5e76\u63ed\u793a\u201c\u5206\u88c2\u201d\u5e76\u975e\u6e90\u81ea\u6587\u660e\u51b2\u7a81\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u6e90\u81ea\u4e24\u79cd\u4e0d\u540c\u5374\u4e92\u8865\u7684\u5efa\u56fd\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u5b9e\u8df5\u4e2d\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u76f8\u4e92\u7ade\u4e89\u7684\u6846\u67b6\u5e38\u88ab\u6295\u5c04\u5230\u7b80\u5316\u7684\u201c\u897f\u2014\u4e1c\u201d\u5730\u7406\u683c\u5c40\u4e0a\u3002\u5149\u8c31\u7684\u4e00\u7aef\uff08\u897f\u90e8\uff09\u5f3a\u8c03\u4ee5\u65cf\u7fa4\u6587\u5316\u7406\u89e3\u56fd\u5bb6\u5f52\u5c5e\uff0c\u8bed\u8a00\u3001\u5386\u53f2\u8bb0\u5fc6\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e0e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4fdd\u6301\u8c61\u5f81\u6027\u8ddd\u79bb\u5c24\u5176\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u7aef\uff08\u4e1c\u90e8\uff09\u5219\u66f4\u5f3a\u8c03\u4ee5\u516c\u6c11\u548c\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3a\u951a\u7684\u5f52\u5c5e\u7406\u89e3\uff0c\u5fe0\u4e8e\u5236\u5ea6\u548c\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8fd0\u4f5c\u4f18\u5148\u4e8e\u6587\u5316\u6807\u5fd7\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u662f\u7406\u60f3\u7c7b\u578b\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u56fa\u5b9a\u7684\u5730\u533a\u8eab\u4efd\u3002\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4fb5\u7565\u7684\u7ecf\u5386\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u516c\u6c11\u5f52\u5c5e\u611f\u5e7f\u6cdb\u5206\u5e03\u4e8e\u5168\u56fd\u3002\u8fd9\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u89e3\u91ca\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u8054\u90a6\u7684 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/102567360\/Rallying_Around_the_Flag_War_Challenges_and_Civic_Mobilization_in_Ukraine\">2014\u5e74\u548c2022\u5e74\u5165\u4fb5\u672a\u80fd\u5f15\u53d1\u83ab\u65af\u79d1\u9884\u671f\u7684\u5d29\u6e83<\/a>\uff1a\u5357\u90e8\u548c\u4e1c\u90e8\u7684\u8bb8\u591a\u793e\u533a\u52a8\u5458\u8d77\u6765\u4fdd\u536b\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u89c6\u5176\u4e3a\u81ea\u8eab\u81ea\u7531\u548c\u751f\u6d3b\u65b9\u5f0f\u7684\u4fdd\u969c\u8005\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1008\" height=\"464\" src=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-18.png\" alt=\"Cover image for: The Social Contract at War: Mobilization, Legitimacy, and Post-War Cohesion in Ukraine\" class=\"wp-image-35046\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-18.png 1008w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-18-600x276.png 600w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-18-768x354.png 768w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-18-18x8.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1008px) 100vw, 1008px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>2022\u5e743\u67085\u65e5\uff0c\u8d6b\u5c14\u677e\u5c45\u6c11\u5728\u81ea\u7531\u5e7f\u573a\u4e3e\u884c\u96c6\u4f1a\uff0c\u53cd\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5360\u9886\u3002\u6765\u6e90\uff1a <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/rusaggression.gov.ua\/en\/rallies-in-occupied-kherson-a988369ce577d0eaac1b2ba6f35616d8.html\"><em>\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4fb5\u7565\u865a\u62df\u535a\u7269\u9986<\/em><\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Recognizing this distinction, that the East is not &#8220;anti-Ukrainian&#8221; but rather &#8220;centrist&#8221;, is the foundational key to the following analysis, as it reveals that Russia&#8217;s strategy relies on convincing these two camps that they are irreconcilable opponents, even when their preferences can be understood as complementary pillars of a single political nation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u57fa\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e00\u8ba4\u8bc6\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u8ba4\u4e3a<\/strong> \u5f53\u4eca\u6700\u5177\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u65ad\u5c42\u5e76\u975e\u201c\u6587\u660e\u201d\u65ad\u5c42\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u53ef\u88ab\u5916\u90e8\u653e\u5927\u7684\u3001\u4e0e\u6cbb\u7406\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e09\u6761\u53ef\u80fd\u5ef6\u7eed\u81f3\u6218\u540e\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u65ad\u5c42\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u8bed\u8a00\u653f\u7b56<\/strong> \u4f5c\u4e3a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5efa\u8bbe\u8def\u7ebf\u4e4b\u4e89\u7684\u8f7d\u4f53\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u5b97\u6559\u5b89\u5168\u56f0\u5883<\/strong> \u5728\u6c11\u4e3b\u7ea6\u675f\u4e4b\u4e0b\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u6218\u65f6\u793e\u4f1a\u5951\u7ea6<\/strong>\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u52a8\u5458\u548c\u91cd\u65b0\u878d\u5165\u516c\u5e73\u6027\u7684\u611f\u77e5\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5206\u6790\u6700\u540e\u63d0\u51fa\u653f\u7b56\u9009\u9879\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632\u6b62\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e0d\u6ee1\u56fa\u5316\u4e3a\u6301\u4e45\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u88c2\u75d5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-polarization-as-a-repeatable-script-black-pr-and-institutional-incentives\"><strong><em>\u4f5c\u4e3a\u53ef\u590d\u5236\u811a\u672c\u7684\u6781\u5316\uff1a\u9ed1\u8272\u516c\u5173\u4e0e\u5236\u5ea6\u6fc0\u52b1<\/em><\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The transformation of Ukraine\u2019s regional diversity into a critical vulnerability of national security represents one of the most sophisticated influence operations in modern hybrid warfare. It began as a sociological heuristic to explain the coexistence of civic and neo-Soviet identities, but was later weaponized. Domestic elites used it for election-rallying support while Russian strategists turned it into a mechanism of &#8220;identity warfare&#8221;, designed to eliminate the centrist middle ground and force a complex society into a binary conflict.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u79cd\u4eba\u4e3a\u6781\u5316\u57282004\u5e74\u603b\u7edf\u9009\u4e3e\u671f\u95f4\u53d1\u5c55\u5230\u4e86\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u3001\u4f53\u7cfb\u5316\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002\u8fd9\u573a\u89d2\u9010\u88ab\u666e\u904d\u89c6\u4e3a\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u6cbb\u7406\u8def\u5f84\u548c\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u8d70\u5411\u4e4b\u95f4\u4f5c\u51fa\u7684\u6218\u7565\u9009\u62e9\u3002Viktor Yushchenko <a href=\"https:\/\/ciaotest.cc.columbia.edu\/olj\/et\/et_v12n4\/et_v12n4_003.pdf\">\u9610\u8ff0\u4e86<\/a> \u4eb2\u6b27\u65b9\u5411\uff1b\u800c\u83b7\u5f97\u6267\u653f\u6743\u529b\u7f51\u7edc\u652f\u6301\u7684 Viktor Yanukovych \u5219\u666e\u904d\u4e0e\u4eb2\u4fc4\u3001\u6b27\u4e9a\u4e3b\u4e49\u53d6\u5411\u76f8\u5173\u8054\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u6846\u67b6\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u64cd\u7eb5\u7684\u52a8\u673a\uff0c\u4e5f\u4ee4\u57fa\u4e8e\u8eab\u4efd\u7684\u52a8\u5458\u5728\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0a\u66f4\u4e3a\u6709\u6548\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u573a\u7ade\u9009\u8fc5\u901f\u6210\u4e3a\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u72ec\u7acb\u540e\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u4e89\u8bae\u6700\u5927\u3001\u6700\u201c\u80ae\u810f\u201d\u7684\u7ade\u9009\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u4e3a <a href=\"https:\/\/ciaotest.cc.columbia.edu\/olj\/et\/et_v12n4\/et_v12n4_003.pdf\">\u786e\u4fdd<\/a> Yanukovych&#8217;s victory, his supporters deployed &#8220;technical candidates&#8221; to dilute the vote, monopolized mass media to demonize Yushchenko, and engaged in direct sabotage \u2013 most notably, they schemed the dioxin poisoning of Yushchenko in September 2004 and organized the hacking of the Central Election Commission (CVK) servers to manipulate final results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728 Yanukovych \u56e2\u961f\u4e2d\u7684 <a href=\"https:\/\/ciaotest.cc.columbia.edu\/olj\/et\/et_v12n4\/et_v12n4_003.pdf\">\u653f\u6cbb\u6280\u672f\u4e13\u5bb6<\/a> \uff08\u5176\u4e2d\u5305\u62ec <a href=\"https:\/\/ciaotest.cc.columbia.edu\/olj\/et\/et_v12n4\/et_v12n4_003.pdf\">\u4e0e\u514b\u91cc\u59c6\u6797\u5bab\u7ed3\u76df\u7684\u987e\u95ee<\/a>\uff09\u5236\u5b9a\u7684\u603b\u4f53\u6218\u7565\u4e2d\uff0c\u4eb2\u653f\u5e9c\u9635\u8425\u91c7\u7528\u4e86 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.themoscowtimes.com\/archive\/the-fate-of-political-technology\">&#8220;dramaturgiya&#8221;<\/a> \uff08\u620f\u5267\u5316\u7f16\u6392\uff09\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u4ee5\u53d7\u63a7\u3001\u9ad8\u98ce\u9669\u7684 <a href=\"https:\/\/en.detector.media\/post\/tactics-of-russian-propaganda-in-portraying-ukraine-as-a-cradle-of-corruption\">\u5143\u53d9\u4e8b<\/a> that framed the political opposition as a &#8220;nationalist&#8221; existential threat to the identity of the industrial Southeast. Thus, in this campaign, regional diversity was reframed as a political instrument.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e0e\u8fd9\u4e00\u505a\u6cd5\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u4ea7\u7269\u4e2d\uff0c\u6700\u5e7f\u4e3a\u4eba\u77e5\u7684\u5f53\u6570\u201c\u4e09\u7c7b\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u4eba\u201d\u6d77\u62a5\u3002\u5b83\u5e38\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u9ed1\u8272\u516c\u5173\u5de5\u5177\uff1a\u901a\u8fc7\u628a\u4e00\u5957\u5c06\u5357\u90e8\u548c\u4e1c\u90e8\u964d\u4e3a\u4e8c\u7b49\u6216\u4e09\u7b49\u5730\u4f4d\u7684\u7b49\u7ea7\u89c2\u5f52\u548e\u4e8e\u201c\u6a59\u8272\u201d\u9635\u8425\uff0c\u8fbe\u5230\u62b9\u9ed1 Yushchenko \u7684\u76ee\u7684\u3002\u6d77\u62a5\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u4f5c\u7528\u662f\u5524\u8d77\u5730\u4f4d\u53d7\u5a01\u80c1\u611f\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u4eba\u4eec\u9632\u5fa1\u6027\u62b1\u56e2\u3002\u8fd9\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u6295\u7968\u7387\u63d0\u5347\uff0c\u5374\u4e5f\u52a0\u6df1\u4e86\u5730\u533a\u95f4\u7684\u4e0d\u4fe1\u4efb\uff0c\u5e76\u7559\u4e0b\u4e00\u5957\u73b0\u6210\u811a\u672c\uff0c\u53ef\u4f9b\u65e5\u540e\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u6597\u4e89\u53cd\u590d\u5957\u7528\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u88ab\u5916\u90e8\u884c\u4e3a\u4f53\u5229\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u79cd\u4eba\u4e3a\u5236\u9020\u7684\u6781\u5316\u4f7f\u56fd\u5bb6\u673a\u6784\u4e2d\u56fa\u5316\u4e86 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ponarseurasia.org\/old-political-habits-die-hard-in-ukraine\/#:~:text=Old%20Political%20Habits%20Die%20Hard%20in%20Ukraine%20%2D%20PONARS%20Eurasia\">\u201c\u914d\u989d\u539f\u5219\u201d<\/a> \uff1a\u5404\u90e8\u59d4\u548c\u5b89\u5168\u673a\u6784\u88ab\u7ade\u4e89\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u6d3e\u7cfb\u74dc\u5206\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u7531\u4e13\u4e1a\u4eba\u58eb\u4efb\u804c\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u4fb5\u8680\u516c\u4f17\u4fe1\u4efb\uff0c\u5e76\u9020\u6210\u4e86\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u540e\u6765\u5f97\u4ee5\u5229\u7528\u7684\u5236\u5ea6\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5173\u952e\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u5176\u5f71\u54cd\u5e76\u672a\u5c40\u9650\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e2a\u9009\u4e3e\u5468\u671f\uff1a\u5b83\u4fc3\u6210\u4e86\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u653f\u6cbb\u4e2d\u96f6\u548c\u8eab\u4efd\u6846\u67b6\u7684\u957f\u671f\u5e38\u6001\u5316\uff0c\u5851\u9020\u4e86\u540e\u6765\u56f4\u7ed5\u8bed\u8a00\u653f\u7b56\u3001\u5386\u53f2\u8bb0\u5fc6\u4e0e\u56fd\u5bb6\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\u7684\u4e89\u8bba\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1006\" height=\"654\" src=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-25.png\" alt=\"Cover image for: The Social Contract at War: Mobilization, Legitimacy, and Post-War Cohesion in Ukraine\" class=\"wp-image-35048\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-25.png 1006w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-25-600x390.png 600w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-25-768x499.png 768w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-25-18x12.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1006px) 100vw, 1006px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>\u8fd9\u5e45\u56fe\u662f2004\u5e74\u603b\u7edf\u7ade\u9009\u671f\u95f4\u81ed\u540d\u662d\u8457\u7684\u201c\u4e09\u7c7b\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u4eba\u201d\u5ba3\u4f20\u5730\u56fe\uff0c\u7531\u4eb2\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u6280\u672f\u4e13\u5bb6\u8bbe\u8ba1\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u717d\u52a8\u5730\u533a\u5206\u88c2\u7684\u9ed1\u8272\u516c\u5173\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u8be5\u5730\u56fe\u5c06\u53cd\u5bf9\u6d3e\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u613f\u666f\u63cf\u7ed8\u6210\u4e00\u79cd\u628a\u4e1c\u90e8\u548c\u5357\u90e8\u964d\u4e3a\u201c\u4e09\u7b49\u201d\u5730\u4f4d\u7684\u7b49\u7ea7\u5236\u5ea6\uff0c\u65e8\u5728\u901a\u8fc7\u4eba\u4e3a\u5236\u9020\u7684\u6050\u60e7\u548c\u5730\u4f4d\u5a01\u80c1\u5f15\u53d1\u9632\u5fa1\u6027\u51dd\u805a\u3002<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-discrediting-ukraine-abroad-and-engineering-a-trigger-inside\"><strong><em>\u5728\u56fd\u5916\u62b9\u9ed1\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\uff0c\u5728\u56fd\u5185\u5236\u9020\u5bfc\u706b\u7d22<\/em><\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Following the Orange Revolution and the victory of the pro-Western Yushchenko, Russia\u2019s strategy shifted to the international level. For the Kremlin, keeping Ukraine within its sphere of influence was a vital interest. To undermine Ukraine&#8217;s European aspirations, Moscow launched a campaign of international discredit. The <a href=\"https:\/\/en.detector.media\/post\/gas-gangrene-of-kyiv-and-moscow-the-informational-component\">\u201c\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u6218\u4e89\u201d<\/a> \u88ab\u7cbe\u5fc3\u7b56\u5212\uff0c\u7528\u4ee5\u5c06\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u63cf\u7ed8\u6210\u6b27\u6d32\u4e0d\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u8fc7\u5883\u4f19\u4f34\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5728\u897f\u65b9\u5404\u56fd\u9996\u90fd\u64ad\u4e0b\u6000\u7591\u7684\u79cd\u5b50\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5229\u7528\u5e9e\u5927\u7684\u8bf4\u5ba2\u7f51\u7edc\u963b\u6320\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u52a0\u5165\u5317\u7ea6\u7684\u9053\u8def\uff0c\u6210\u529f\u963b\u6b62\u8be5\u56fd\u57282008\u5e74\u5e03\u52a0\u52d2\u65af\u7279\u5cf0\u4f1a\u83b7\u5f97\u6210\u5458\u8d44\u683c\u884c\u52a8\u8ba1\u5212\uff08MAP\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u4ece\u5916\u90e8\u963b\u6ede\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u52a0\u5165\u5317\u7ea6\u8fd9\u4e00\u8feb\u5728\u7709\u776b\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u540e\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u53c8\u8f6c\u800c\u652f\u6301 Viktor Yanukovych \u653f\u6cbb\u590d\u51fa\uff0c\u4ece\u5185\u90e8\u4fb5\u8680\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u3002\u4ed6\u6700\u7ec8\u51fa\u4efb\u603b\u7edf\uff0c\u6807\u5fd7\u7740\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4ece\u4e34\u65f6\u6027\u7684\u9009\u4e3e\u7b56\u7565\u8f6c\u5411\u4ee5\u6c38\u4e45\u6027\u7acb\u6cd5\u5de5\u5177\u5236\u9020\u5206\u88c2\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Beyond politics, this era focused on &#8220;worldview engineering&#8221; \u2013 reintroducing Soviet-style May 9th parades and other &#8220;Great Patriotic War&#8221; myths to anchor Ukraine in a common &#8220;Russian World&#8221; (Russkiy Mir) cultural space. These symbolic acts were designed to keep the &#8220;identity divide&#8221; relevant and prevent the formation of a unified Ukrainian civic identity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u79cd\u5185\u90e8\u4fb5\u8680\u7684\u6218\u7565\u903b\u8f91\u6700\u7ec8\u96c6\u4e2d\u4f53\u73b0\u5728 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.atlanticcouncil.org\/blogs\/ukrainealert\/the-truth-behind-ukraine-s-language-policy\/\">2012\u5e74\u300a\u57fa\u74e6\u6d1b\u592b\u2014\u79d1\u5217\u65af\u5c3c\u7434\u79d1\u8bed\u8a00\u6cd5\u300b<\/a>. This was not a genuine effort to protect minority rights but a cynical political gesture designed to institutionalize linguistic segregation. By lowering the threshold for &#8220;regional language&#8221; status to 10%, the law <a href=\"https:\/\/husj.harvard.edu\/articles\/ukrainian-language-legislation-and-the-national-crisis\">\u5141\u8bb8<\/a> \u4e3b\u8981\u8bb2\u4fc4\u8bed\u7684\u5357\u90e8\u548c\u4e1c\u90e8\u5730\u65b9\u7cbe\u82f1\u5b8c\u5168\u7ed5\u8fc7\u56fd\u5bb6\u8bed\u8a00\uff0c\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u6d88\u9664\u4e86\u56fd\u5bb6\u6574\u5408\u7684\u52a8\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This was a textbook application of the Reflexive Control strategy, which was engineered to provoke a defensive reaction from the patriotic center. The resulting &#8220;Language Maidan&#8221; protests calling to protect Ukrainian language rights were <a href=\"https:\/\/stratcomcoe.org\/cuploads\/pfiles\/webrussia_syria_report_13-dec_.pdf\">\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5a92\u4f53\u64ad\u51fa<\/a> as evidence of &#8220;Western intolerance&#8221; and &#8220;nationalist radicalism&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The legacy of this law remains one of Ukraine&#8217;s most complex challenges. Even today, the issue of minority language rights is weaponized on the international stage, most notably by Hungary within the EU, to stall Ukraine&#8217;s European integration. This demonstrates that the identity traps set decades ago continue to function as tools for external geopolitical pressure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Russia subsequently weaponized the inevitable Ukrainian backlash against these policies \u2013 specifically the attempted repeal of the language law after the 2014 Revolution of Dignity \u2013 as a primary justification for military intervention. By framing the defense of national identity as &#8220;cultural genocide,&#8221; the Kremlin successfully reframed external aggression as a domestic &#8220;civil war&#8221;, exploiting the very divisions it had spent a decade meticulously cultivating.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-2-what-the-divide-looks-like-now-three-post-2022-fault-lines\"><strong>2. \u5f53\u4eca\u7684\u5206\u6b67\uff1a2022\u5e74\u540e\u7684\u4e09\u6761\u65ad\u5c42<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7531\u4e8e\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\uff0c\u4e0e\u201c\u897f\u2014\u4e1c\u5206\u88c2\u201d\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u957f\u671f\u5185\u90e8\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\u5df2\u6f14\u53d8\u4e3a\u4e00\u573a\u56f4\u7ed5\u56fd\u5bb6\u5f52\u5c5e\u3001\u5236\u5ea6\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\u548c\u516c\u5e73\u611f\u7684\u66f4\u590d\u6742\u6597\u4e89\u3002\u5168\u9762\u5165\u4fb5\u540e\uff0c\u8be5\u56fd\u8d77\u521d\u51fa\u73b0\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u56e2\u7ed3\u6d6a\u6f6e\uff0c\u4f46\u5f53\u524d\u793e\u4f1a\u6570\u636e\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u51dd\u805a\u529b\u6b63\u53d7\u5230\u82e5\u5e72\u5185\u90e8\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u8003\u9a8c\u3002\u7efc\u5408\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u95ee\u9898\u5a01\u80c1\u56fd\u5bb6\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u4eec\u635f\u5bb3\u4e86\u56fd\u5bb6\u6709\u6548\u8fd0\u4f5c\u6240\u9700\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u51dd\u805a\u529b\u548c\u5236\u5ea6\u5b8c\u6574\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-language-policy-consolidation-with-residual-friction\"><strong><em>\u8bed\u8a00\u653f\u7b56\uff1a\u5de9\u56fa\u8fdb\u7a0b\u4e2d\u7684\u6b8b\u4f59\u6469\u64e6<\/em><\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u52a0\u6df1\u5f53\u524d\u88c2\u75d5\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u4e2d\uff0c\u8bed\u8a00\u653f\u7b56\u5f71\u54cd\u6700\u5c0f\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5b83\u66fe\u662f\u653f\u6cbb\u64cd\u7eb5\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u4f46\u5e7f\u6cdb\u5171\u8bc6\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f62\u6210\uff1b\u622a\u81f32024\u5e74\u5e74\u4e2d\uff0c <a href=\"https:\/\/razumkov.org.ua\/en\/component\/k2\/the-identity-of-ukraine-s-citizens-trends-of-change-june-2024\">\u7ea678%<\/a> \u7684\u516c\u6c11\u5c06\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u8bed\u89c6\u4e3a\u6bcd\u8bed\uff0c\u903e <a href=\"https:\/\/razumkov.org.ua\/en\/component\/k2\/the-identity-of-ukraine-s-citizens-trends-of-change-june-2024\">70%<\/a> \u7684\u4eba\u4e3b\u8981\u5728\u5bb6\u4e2d\u4f7f\u7528\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u8bed\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This was, however, preceded by a significant social friction that began following the invasion of Ukraine in 2022. The invasion triggered a massive internal migration, forcing hundreds of thousands of citizens from predominantly Russian-speaking regions to settle in the largely Ukrainian-speaking communities of the West. This movement brought the country\u2019s regional differences into immediate, daily contact, often resulting in localized conflicts where the Russian language was stigmatized as the &#8220;language of the occupier&#8221; or the &#8220;language of the aggressor&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For many displaced persons, who were already reeling from the trauma of losing their homes to Russian aggression, being told that their native speech was a marker of political disloyalty created a profound sense of alienation, effectively making them feel like &#8220;outsiders&#8221; within their own country. These linguistic tensions were not merely organic social misunderstandings but were exacerbated by a <a href=\"https:\/\/kb.osu.edu\/server\/api\/core\/bitstreams\/1b008dfe-50dd-4b31-b72d-7e3023f1d96f\/content\">&#8220;war of words&#8221;<\/a> \u800c\u52a0\u5267\uff1b\u8fd9\u573a\u8206\u8bba\u6218\u5f3a\u5316\u4e86\u8d1f\u9762\u523b\u677f\u5370\u8c61\uff0c\u5e76\u963b\u788d\u65b0\u6765\u8005\u878d\u5165\u793e\u4f1a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8bed\u8a00\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u573a\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u5efa\u8bbe\u8fa9\u8bba\u6700\u6e05\u6670\u7684\u6807\u5fd7\u4e4b\u4e00\uff1a\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u8eab\u4efd\u8ba4\u540c\u5e94\u4e3b\u8981\u4ee5\u516c\u6c11\u5c42\u9762\uff08\u5fe0\u8bda\u548c\u516c\u6c11\u8eab\u4efd\uff09\u754c\u5b9a\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u4ee5\u65cf\u7fa4\u6587\u5316\u5c42\u9762\uff08\u8bed\u8a00\u3001\u4f20\u627f\u548c\u4f20\u7edf\uff09\u754c\u5b9a\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u591a\u6570\u4eba\uff08<a href=\"https:\/\/www.kiis.com.ua\/?lang=eng&amp;cat=reports&amp;id=1458&amp;page=4\">71%<\/a>) supports the inclusive definition of a Ukrainian citizen, a smaller but vocal group remains skeptical of those who speak Russian, which creates a &#8220;status threat&#8221; where some patriots feel their contribution is undervalued because of their linguistic background.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1010\" height=\"438\" src=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-27.png\" alt=\"Cover image for: The Social Contract at War: Mobilization, Legitimacy, and Post-War Cohesion in Ukraine\" class=\"wp-image-35050\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-27.png 1010w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-27-600x260.png 600w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-27-768x333.png 768w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-27-18x8.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1010px) 100vw, 1010px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>\u201c\u4fc4\u8bed\u6b62\u4e8e\u4f55\u5904\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5c31\u6b62\u4e8e\u4f55\u5904\u3002\u201d2017\u5e741\u670826\u65e5\uff0c\u57fa\u8f85\u3002\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5baa\u6cd5\u6cd5\u9662\u5916\u7684\u4e00\u573a\u6297\u8bae\u6d3b\u52a8\u4e2d\uff0c\u6d77\u62a5\u4e0a\u5370\u6709\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u603b\u7edf Vladimir Putin \u7684\u56fe\u50cf\uff1b\u8be5\u6cd5\u9662\u5f53\u65f6\u6b63\u5728\u5ba1\u8bae\u300a\u57fa\u74e6\u6d1b\u592b\u2014\u79d1\u5217\u65af\u5c3c\u7434\u79d1\u8bed\u8a00\u6cd5\u300b\u662f\u5426\u5408\u5baa\u3002<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u8bed\u8a00\u653f\u7b56\u4ecd\u662f\u6700\u4e0d\u6613\u5347\u7ea7\u7684\u5206\u6b67\u7ebf\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u56fd\u5bb6\u65b9\u5411\u76f8\u5bf9\u6e05\u6670\u4e14\u5df2\u5236\u5ea6\u5316\u3002\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5df2\u5de9\u56fa\u4e00\u79cd\u6a21\u5f0f\uff1a\u5f3a\u5316\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u8bed\u4f5c\u4e3a\u552f\u4e00\u56fd\u5bb6\u8bed\u8a00\u548c\u516c\u5171\u9886\u57df\u7684\u9ed8\u8ba4\u8bed\u8a00\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u79c1\u4eba\u4ea4\u6d41\u5e76\u975e\u56fd\u5bb6\u76f4\u63a5\u63a7\u5236\u7684\u5bf9\u8c61\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.radiosvoboda.org\/a\/mova-bezpeka-viyna-zbroya-ukrayina\/33410777.html\">\u8bed\u8a00\u76d1\u5bdf\u4e13\u5458<\/a> \u673a\u6784\u7684\u8bbe\u7acb\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u901a\u8fc7\u884c\u653f\u673a\u5236\u800c\u975e\u4e34\u65f6\u653f\u6cbb\u8fd0\u52a8\u4f7f\u6267\u6cd5\u5e38\u89c4\u5316\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u8be5\u8bae\u9898\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u51fa\u73b0\u5728\u516c\u5171\u8fa9\u8bba\u4e2d\u2014\u2014\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5168\u56fd\u5404\u5730\u4ecd\u5b58\u5728\u5408\u89c4\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4e14\u5728\u57fa\u8f85\u3001\u6556\u5fb7\u8428\u3001\u54c8\u5c14\u79d1\u592b\u548c\u7b2c\u8042\u4f2f\u7f57\u7b49\u5927\u578b\u591a\u8bed\u57ce\u5e02\u62a5\u544a\u5f97\u6700\u4e3a\u9891\u7e41\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u603b\u4f53\u8d8b\u52bf\u6b63\u8d8b\u4e8e\u7a33\u5b9a\uff1a\u4fdd\u62a4\u8bed\u8a00\u88ab\u666e\u904d\u89c6\u4e3a\u9632\u5fa1\u6027\u4e3e\u63aa\uff0c\u5176\u80cc\u666f\u662f\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u8bed\u957f\u671f\u906d\u53d7 <a href=\"https:\/\/chytomo.com\/en\/a-guide-to-the-history-of-oppression-of-the-ukrainian-language\/\">\u9650\u5236<\/a> \uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u82cf\u8054\u65f6\u671f\u7684\u516c\u5171\u4e0e\u804c\u4e1a\u751f\u6d3b\u4e2d\u88ab\u53d6\u4ee3\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u4e00\u8bed\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e2d\u671f\u5185\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u8bed\u9010\u6b65\u5e38\u6001\u5316\u4e3a\u5236\u5ea6\u3001\u7cbe\u82f1\u548c\u804c\u4e1a\u4ea4\u6d41\u7684\u8bed\u8a00\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u7f29\u5c0f\u8bed\u8a00\u6210\u4e3a\u9ad8\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u653f\u6cbb\u6954\u5b50\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u2014\u2014\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5c40\u90e8\u51b2\u7a81\u548c\u8c61\u5f81\u6027\u4e89\u8bae\u4ecd\u5c06\u6301\u7eed\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-religious-security-dilemmas-enforcement-under-democratic-constraints\"><strong><em>\u5b97\u6559\u5b89\u5168\u56f0\u5883\uff1a\u6c11\u4e3b\u7ea6\u675f\u4e0b\u7684\u6267\u6cd5<\/em><\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u66f4\u663e\u8457\u7684\u6469\u64e6\u6765\u6e90\u662f\u5b97\u6559\u5bf9\u7acb\uff0c\u5177\u4f53\u6d89\u53ca\u4e0e\u83ab\u65af\u79d1\u7267\u9996\u533a\u6709\u5173\u8054\u7684\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6b63\u6559\u4f1a\uff08UOC-MP\uff09\u7684\u89d2\u8272\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u4e00\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\u5b58\u5728\u4e8e\u4e24\u7c7b\u4eba\u4e4b\u95f4\uff1a\u4e00\u7c7b\u5c06\u8be5\u6559\u4f1a\u89c6\u4e3a\u83ab\u65af\u79d1\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u4e0e\u5ba3\u4f20\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u5de5\u5177\uff1b\u53e6\u4e00\u7c7b\u5219\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5b97\u6559\u5e94\u7f6e\u4e8e\u653f\u6cbb\u4e4b\u5916\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In connection with the war in Ukraine, this divide has triggered a massive shift in the country&#8217;s religious landscape, resulting in a dramatic decline for the Moscow-linked institution. Before the start of the full-scale invasion in 2021, <a href=\"https:\/\/unn.ua\/en\/news\/how-the-number-of-believers-of-the-ocu-and-uoc-mp-has-changed-since-the-beginning-of-the-full-scale-war-sociology\">\u7ea613%<\/a> \u7684\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u4eba\u81ea\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f UOC-MP \u4fe1\u5f92\uff0c\u800c <a href=\"https:\/\/unn.ua\/en\/news\/how-the-number-of-believers-of-the-ocu-and-uoc-mp-has-changed-since-the-beginning-of-the-full-scale-war-sociology\">24%<\/a> \u5c5e\u4e8e\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6b63\u6559\u4f1a\uff08OCU\uff09\u3002\u52302024\u5e74\u672b\uff0c\u60c5\u51b5\u5df2\u5b8c\u5168\u6539\u53d8\uff1aUOC-MP \u7684\u4fe1\u5f92\u6bd4\u4f8b\u9aa4\u964d\u81f3\u4ec5 <a href=\"https:\/\/unn.ua\/en\/news\/how-the-number-of-believers-of-the-ocu-and-uoc-mp-has-changed-since-the-beginning-of-the-full-scale-war-sociology\">5.5%<\/a>\uff0c\u800c OCU \u7684\u4fe1\u5f92\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5219\u5347\u81f3\u603b\u4eba\u53e3\u7684 <a href=\"https:\/\/unn.ua\/en\/news\/how-the-number-of-believers-of-the-ocu-and-uoc-mp-has-changed-since-the-beginning-of-the-full-scale-war-sociology\">35%<\/a> \uff08\u6839\u636e\u62c9\u7956\u59c6\u79d1\u592b\u4e2d\u5fc3\u6c11\u8c03\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5c06\u8be5\u6559\u4f1a\u89c6\u4e3a\u4fb5\u7565\u8005\u5de5\u5177\u7684\u7fa4\u4f53\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u89c2\u70b9\u5f97\u5230 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pravda.com.ua\/eng\/news\/2025\/09\/11\/7530320\/\">180\u591a\u8d77\u5211\u4e8b\u6848\u4ef6<\/a> \u7684\u652f\u6301\uff1a\u81ea2022\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5b89\u5168\u5c40\uff08SBU\/SSU\uff09\u5df2\u5bf9 UOC-MP \u795e\u804c\u4eba\u5458\u7acb\u6848\u8c03\u67e5\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5305\u62ec\u6d89\u53ca23\u540d\u4e3b\u6559\u7684\u6848\u4ef6\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6cd5\u5f8b\u884c\u52a8\u6d89\u53ca\u95f4\u8c0d\u6d3b\u52a8\u548c\u53db\u56fd\u7f6a\u7b49\u5177\u4f53\u6307\u63a7\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u8d85\u51fa\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u4e89\u8bba\u7684\u8303\u7574\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c2025\u5e744\u6708\uff0cSBU \u53cd\u95f4\u8c0d\u90e8\u95e8 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pravda.com.ua\/eng\/news\/2025\/04\/10\/7506886\/\">\u62d8\u7559\u4e86\u987f\u6d85\u8328\u514b\u5dde\u6ce2\u514b\u7f57\u592b\u65af\u514b\u4ee3\u7267\u533a\u7684\u4e00\u540d\u5927\u53f8\u796d<\/a> \uff1b\u4ed6\u88ab\u5f53\u573a\u53d1\u73b0\u4e3a\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u8054\u90a6\u5b89\u5168\u5c40\u6536\u96c6\u540e\u5907\u6307\u6325\u4e2d\u5fc3\u548c\u540e\u52e4\u67a2\u7ebd\u7684\u4f4d\u7f6e\u60c5\u62a5\uff0c\u4ee5\u6362\u53d6\u8ba9\u5bb6\u4eba\u64a4\u5f80\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3002\u7c7b\u4f3c\u6848\u4ef6\u4ea6\u6709\u8bb0\u5f55\uff1a <a href=\"https:\/\/bukvy.org\/en\/russian-led-priest-caugh-spying-in-kharkiv-sbu\/\">\u5728\u54c8\u5c14\u79d1\u592b<\/a>\uff0c\u4e00\u540d\u6559\u957f\u5728\u68c0\u67e5\u7ad9\u9644\u8fd1\u523a\u63a2\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u90e8\u961f\u52a8\u5411\uff1b\u4ee5\u53ca <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pravda.com.ua\/eng\/articles\/2025\/09\/11\/7530266\/\">\u5728\u82cf\u6885<\/a>\uff0c\u4e00\u540d\u5927\u53f8\u796d\u56e0\u63d0\u4f9b\u5bfc\u5f39\u88ad\u51fb\u5750\u6807\u88ab\u5224\u590415\u5e74\u76d1\u7981\u3002\u6216\u8bb8\u6700\u654f\u611f\u7684\u662f2025\u5e748\u6708\u88ab\u62d8\u7559\u7684\u4e00\u540d\u624e\u6ce2\u7f57\u70ed\u795e\u7236\uff0c\u4ed6\u88ab\u6307\u63a7\u5229\u7528\u5b97\u6559\u544a\u89e3\u7684\u79c1\u5bc6\u6027 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pravda.com.ua\/eng\/articles\/2025\/09\/11\/7530266\/\">\u8bc6\u522b\u5e76\u62db\u52df\u4eb2\u4fc4\u5c45\u6c11<\/a> \uff0c\u4e3a\u7531\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u519b\u4e8b\u60c5\u62a5\u603b\u5c40\uff08GRU\uff09\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u60c5\u62a5\u7f51\u7edc\u670d\u52a1\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u7ea6\u5360 <a href=\"https:\/\/razumkov.org.ua\/images\/2025\/01\/27\/2024-Religiya-religion-ENGL.pdf\">74%<\/a> \u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u4eba\u652f\u6301\u5168\u9762\u7981\u6b62\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u6b63\u6559\u4f1a\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5176\u5f71\u54cd\u6784\u6210\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u5219\u662f\u8ba4\u4e3a\u81ea\u8eab\u7cbe\u795e\u751f\u6d3b\u4e0e\u6218\u4e89\u65e0\u5173\u7684\u4fe1\u5f92\u7fa4\u4f53\u3002\u8be5\u7fa4\u4f53\u7684\u4fe1\u5ff5\u53cd\u800c\u66f4\u52a0\u575a\u5b9a\uff1b\u7ea6 <a href=\"https:\/\/razumkov.org.ua\/images\/2025\/01\/27\/2024-Religiya-religion-ENGL.pdf\">44%<\/a> of UOC-MP followers report that their faith has only strengthened under the current pressure, which is a higher rate of &#8220;spiritual hardening&#8221; than seen in other denominations. This creates a dynamic where a segment of the population begins to feel like an oppressed minority, potentially isolating them from the rest of the national community.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1010\" height=\"414\" src=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-29.png\" alt=\"Cover image for: The Social Contract at War: Mobilization, Legitimacy, and Post-War Cohesion in Ukraine\" class=\"wp-image-35052\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-29.png 1010w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-29-600x246.png 600w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-29-768x315.png 768w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-29-18x7.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1010px) 100vw, 1010px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><a href=\"https:\/\/suspilne.media\/338230-sbu-prijsla-z-obsukami-v-cerkvi-upc-mp-se-u-9-oblastah\/\"><em>\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5b89\u5168\u5c40\u4eba\u5458\u6b63\u5728 UOC MP \u6559\u5802\u5185\u5f00\u5c55\u8c03\u67e5\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u67e5\u6263\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u62a4\u7167\u3001\u5ba3\u4f20\u6750\u6599\u548c\u73b0\u91d1\u3002<\/em><\/a><em> \u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5b89\u5168\u5c40\uff08SSU\uff09<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6700\u7ec8\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u4e0e\u6b27\u6d32\u6cd5\u5f8b\u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u7a7a\u95f4\u66f4\u52a0\u7d27\u5bc6\u5730\u63a5\u8f68\uff0c\u5b97\u6559\u5371\u673a\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u52a0\u5267\u3002\u4ece\u6cd5\u5f8b\u4e0a\u5168\u9762\u7981\u6b62\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u6b63\u6559\u4f1a\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u91cd\u5927\u5916\u4ea4\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6b27\u6d32\u4f19\u4f34\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u4eba\u6743\u673a\u6784\u5f80\u5f80\u5c06\u5982\u6b64\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u9650\u5236\u89c6\u4e3a\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdd\u53cd <a href=\"https:\/\/fra.europa.eu\/en\/eu-charter\/article\/10-freedom-thought-conscience-and-religion\">\u300a\u6b27\u76df\u57fa\u672c\u6743\u5229\u5baa\u7ae0\u300b\u7b2c10\u6761<\/a> \u53ca\u5b97\u6559\u4e0d\u6b67\u89c6\u539f\u5219\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u5236\u5ea6\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u4e3a\u6301\u6000\u7591\u6001\u5ea6\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5308\u7259\u5229\uff0c\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4fbf\u5229\u53d9\u4e8b\uff1b\u5b83\u4eec\u53ef\u5c06\u5b89\u5168\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\u6267\u6cd5\u8bf4\u6210\u56fd\u5bb6\u652f\u6301\u7684\u5bf9\u4fe1\u5f92\u7684\u8feb\u5bb3\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u963b\u6320\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u52a0\u5165\u6b27\u76df\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6709\u5927\u91cf\u8bc1\u636e\u8868\u660e\u6559\u4f1a\u5185\u90e8\u5b58\u5728\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u62db\u52df\u548c\u95f4\u8c0d\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u653f\u5e9c\u4e5f\u65e0\u6cd5\u8f7b\u6613\u9760 <a href=\"https:\/\/svidomi.in.ua\/en\/page\/banning-of-the-ukrainian-orthodox-church-of-the-moscow-patriarchate-uoc-mp-in-ukraine-why-and-whats-next\">\u4e00\u9879\u7acb\u6cd5\u884c\u52a8<\/a> without triggering a massive international backlash and accusations of collective punishment. This puts the administration in a profound dilemma, requiring it to move away from blunt prohibitions toward a strategy of &#8220;delicate counteractions&#8221;. This approach focuses strictly on individual criminal liability, while carefully upholding the standards of religious pluralism necessary to maintain support from Western allies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-social-justice-and-wartime-burden-sharing-the-cohesion-stress-test\"><strong><em>\u793e\u4f1a\u6b63\u4e49\u4e0e\u6218\u65f6\u8d1f\u62c5\u5206\u62c5\uff1a\u51dd\u805a\u529b\u7684\u538b\u529b\u6d4b\u8bd5<\/em><\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7b2c\u4e09\u4e2a\u6469\u64e6\u70b9\u5173\u4e4e\u6b63\u4e49\u4e0e\u5e73\u7b49\u5206\u62c5\u8d1f\u62c5\u7684\u89c2\u5ff5\u3002\u591a\u6570\u516c\u6c11\uff08<a href=\"https:\/\/www.kiis.com.ua\/?lang=eng&amp;cat=reports&amp;id=1578&amp;page=1\">53%<\/a>\uff09\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5f53\u5c40\u672a\u80fd\u4fdd\u969c\u793e\u4f1a\u6b63\u4e49\u3002\u5728\u6218\u65f6\u538b\u529b\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u8ba4\u77e5\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u611f\u53d7\uff1a\u89c4\u5219\u88ab\u9009\u62e9\u6027\u6267\u884c\uff0c\u8d1f\u62c5\u5206\u914d\u4e0d\u5747\uff0c\u95ee\u8d23\u662f\u5076\u53d1\u7684\u800c\u975e\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This persistent struggle with legislative failures and social injustice is not a recent development but rather a crisis with deep historical roots that the war has only intensified. In the early stages of the hostilities, there was a widespread public expectation that the shared national trauma would serve as a &#8220;reset&#8221; button, forcing government officials to acknowledge the fragility of their positions and finally address the structural deficiencies that had long hindered the state. Many citizens believed the urgency of survival would instill a new sense of accountability and self-reflection. Yet the expectations were not met.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u6218\u65f6\u6311\u6218\u7684\u7275\u5236\u4e0e\u538b\u529b\u4e0b\uff0c\u6539\u9769\u6b65\u4f10\u9677\u5165\u505c\u6ede\u3002\u8bae\u5458\u5927\u591a\u4e8e2019\u5e74\u5728\u53cd\u5bf9\u65e7\u653f\u5e9c\u3001\u652f\u6301\u65b0\u603b\u7edf\u7684\u6d6a\u6f6e\u4e2d\u5f53\u9009\uff0c\u5374\u6ca1\u6709\u505a\u597d\u4e3a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b58\u7eed\u627f\u62c5\u8d23\u4efb\u7684\u51c6\u5907\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u6ca6\u4e3a\u81ea\u4e0a\u800c\u4e0b\u6307\u4ee4\u7684\u6267\u884c\u8005\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\u7684\u8bbe\u8ba1\u8005\u3002\u8fd9\u52a0\u91cd\u4e86\u505c\u6ede\u611f\uff1a\u4eba\u4eec\u6df1\u9677\u5e7f\u4e3a\u4eba\u77e5\u5374\u8fdf\u8fdf\u5f97\u4e0d\u5230\u89e3\u51b3\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u5e7b\u706d\u4fb5\u8680\u4e86\u5bf9\u66f4\u52a0\u516c\u5e73\u5236\u5ea6\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\uff0c\u5e76\u4e3a\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0e\u4eba\u6c11\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u7834\u88c2\u94fa\u5e73\u4e86\u9053\u8def\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6218\u65f6\u793e\u4f1a\u5951\u7ea6\u6700\u4e25\u5cfb\u7684\u538b\u529b\u6d4b\u8bd5\u662f\u52a8\u5458\u5236\u5ea6\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5176\u5bf9\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u9632\u52a1\u4e0d\u53ef\u6216\u7f3a\uff0c\u4f46\u5f53\u516c\u6c11\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e00\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e0d\u900f\u660e\u3001\u5e26\u6709\u7f9e\u8fb1\u6027\u6216\u5bb9\u6613\u53d7\u5230\u5dee\u522b\u5bf9\u5f85\u65f6\uff0c\u5b83\u4fbf\u4f1a\u6210\u4e3a\u6781\u5316\u7684\u9a71\u52a8\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u4fd7\u79f0\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/english.nv.ua\/opinion\/ukraine-s-busification-how-forced-draft-raids-fuel-fear-and-backlash-50568034.html\">\u516c\u4ea4\u8f66\u5f0f\u5f81\u5175<\/a>\u201d\u8fd9\u4e00\u73b0\u8c61\u5e76\u975e\u53ea\u662f\u4e2a\u522b\u6ee5\u7528\u95ee\u9898\uff1b\u5b83\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u8861\u91cf\u56fd\u5bb6\u80fd\u5426\u5728\u8981\u6c42\u516c\u6c11\u5c65\u884c\u975e\u5e38\u65f6\u671f\u4e49\u52a1\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4ecd\u53d7\u53ef\u9884\u671f\u89c4\u5219\u548c\u5e73\u7b49\u6807\u51c6\u7ea6\u675f\u7684\u8c61\u5f81\u3002\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2024\u5e74\uff0c\u903e <a href=\"https:\/\/sceeus.se\/en\/publications\/the-ukrainian-mobilization-challenge-military-and-society-during-full-scale-war\/\">51,000\u540d\u58eb\u5175\u64c5\u79bb<\/a> \u6240\u5c5e\u90e8\u961f\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6570\u636e\u4e0d\u5e94\u88ab\u7406\u89e3\u4e3a\u4e2a\u4eba\u7231\u56fd\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u7f3a\u5931\uff0c\u800c\u5e94\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u5bf9\u5236\u5ea6\u5316\u4e0d\u516c\u5e73\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u56de\u5e94\u3002\u5f53\u727a\u7272\u89c4\u5219\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5177\u6709\u9009\u62e9\u6027\u65f6\uff0c\u5bf9\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u9053\u5fb7\u4e49\u52a1\u65e5\u76ca\u88ab\u4ece\u7834\u88c2\u793e\u4f1a\u5951\u7ea6\u4e2d\u62bd\u8eab\u6c42\u5b58\u6240\u53d6\u4ee3\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u76f8\u4fe1\u8d22\u5bcc\u548c\u5173\u7cfb\u80fd\u591f\u8d2d\u4e70\u8c41\u514d\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u4ed6\u4eba\u5374\u9762\u4e34\u5f3a\u5236\u6267\u884c\uff0c\u8fd9\u76f4\u63a5\u7834\u574f\u4e86\u6cd5\u5f8b\u9762\u524d\u4eba\u4eba\u5e73\u7b49\u7684\u539f\u5219\u3002\u5982 <a href=\"https:\/\/sceeus.se\/en\/publications\/the-ukrainian-mobilization-challenge-military-and-society-during-full-scale-war\/\">SCEEUS \u62a5\u544a\u6307\u51fa<\/a>\uff0c\u82e5\u52a8\u5458\u672a\u4ee5\u900f\u660e\u3001\u516c\u5e73\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u8fdb\u884c\u7ba1\u7406\uff0c\u4fbf\u4f1a\u52a0\u5267\u56fd\u5185\u6781\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u79cd\u5236\u5ea6\u5316\u4e0d\u516c\u5e73\uff0c\u53c8\u56e0\u65e0\u9650\u671f\u670d\u5f79\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e0d\u6e05\u6670\u7684\u590d\u5458\u548c\u8f6e\u6362\u671f\u9650\u6240\u9020\u6210\u7684\u5fc3\u7406\u4ee3\u4ef7\u800c\u52a0\u5267\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u81ea2022\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u90e8\u7f72\u7684\u4eba\u5458\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u7f3a\u4e4f\u53ef\u9884\u671f\u7684\u9000\u51fa\u8def\u5f84\u548c\u900f\u660e\u7684\u8f6e\u6362\u89c4\u5219 <a href=\"https:\/\/sceeus.se\/en\/publications\/the-ukrainian-mobilization-challenge-military-and-society-during-full-scale-war\/\">\u4f1a\u9020\u6210\u957f\u671f\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027<\/a> \u4ee5\u53ca\u53d7\u56f0\u611f\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u79cd\u4f53\u9a8c\u4f1a\u635f\u5bb3\u58eb\u6c14\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f1a\u524a\u5f31\u670d\u5f79\u4eba\u5458\u5bf9\u56fd\u5bb6\u5c65\u884c\u5bf9\u7b49\u4e49\u52a1\u7684\u4fe1\u4efb\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u7c7b\u4e0d\u6ee1\u5728\u6218\u540e\u7684\u5c42\u9762\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u52a0\u654f\u611f\u3002\u4e00\u65e6\u76f4\u63a5\u7684\u751f\u5b58\u538b\u529b\u7f13\u89e3\uff0c\u6218\u65f6\u89d2\u8272\u5dee\u5f02\u53ef\u80fd\u56fa\u5316\u4e3a\u9053\u5fb7\u7b49\u7ea7<strong><em>\uff1a\u201c\u8c01\u627f\u62c5\u4e86\u8d1f\u62c5\u201d\u4e0e\u201c\u8c01\u9003\u907f\u4e86\u8d1f\u62c5\u201d<\/em><\/strong>\u3002\u8fd9\u5bf9\u9000\u4f0d\u519b\u4eba\u4ee5\u53ca\u5c45\u4f4f\u5728\u56fd\u5916\u6216\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u9003\u907f\u5f81\u5175\u7684\u9002\u9f84\u7537\u6027\u5c24\u4e3a\u7a81\u51fa\u3002\u5373\u4f7f\u4e2a\u4eba\u6709\u6b63\u5f53\u7406\u7531\uff0c\u5982\u5065\u5eb7\u3001\u5bb6\u5ead\u8d23\u4efb\u6216\u6cd5\u5f8b\u8eab\u4efd\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u6c61\u540d\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u6301\u7eed\u5b58\u5728\u3002\u82e5\u4e0d\u52a0\u4ee5\u5904\u7406\uff0c\u8fd9\u7c7b\u53d9\u4e8b\u4f1a\u52a9\u957f\u793e\u4f1a\u654c\u610f\u3001\u4f7f\u91cd\u65b0\u878d\u5165\u66f4\u52a0\u590d\u6742\uff0c\u5e76\u4e3a\u653f\u6cbb\u6295\u673a\u8005\u548c\u654c\u5bf9\u4fe1\u606f\u884c\u52a8\u521b\u9020\u6c83\u571f\uff0c\u4ee4\u5176\u5c06\u201c\u6218\u4e89\u671f\u95f4\u4f60\u5728\u54ea\u91cc\uff1f\u201d\u8fd9\u4e00\u95ee\u9898\u6b66\u5668\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6218\u540e\u9000\u4f0d\u519b\u4eba <a href=\"https:\/\/pism.pl\/publikacje\/weterani-zmieniaja-ukraine\">\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6784\u6210\u5355\u4e00\u3001\u540c\u8d28\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u7fa4\u4f53<\/a>\u3002\u670d\u5f79\u8def\u5f84\u548c\u6fc0\u52b1\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\uff08\u52a8\u5458\u4eba\u5458\u4e0e\u804c\u4e1a\u519b\u4eba\u4e4b\u95f4\u3001\u6218\u6597\u4efb\u52a1\u4e0e\u540e\u65b9\u4efb\u52a1\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e0d\u540c\u5408\u540c\u6846\u67b6\u4e0b\u670d\u5f79\u7fa4\u4f53\u4e4b\u95f4\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u5851\u9020\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf9\u8ba4\u53ef\u3001\u798f\u5229\u548c\u9000\u5f79\u540e\u652f\u6301\u7684\u671f\u5f85\u3002\u8fd9\u7c7b\u4e0d\u5bf9\u79f0\u53ef\u80fd\u52a0\u6df1\u4e0d\u516c\u5e73\u611f\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5728\u5171\u540c\u62e5\u6709\u524d\u7ebf\u7ecf\u5386\u7684\u7fa4\u4f53\u5185\u90e8\u4ea6\u7136\u3002\u82e5\u5236\u5ea6\u56de\u5e94\u652f\u79bb\u7834\u788e\u6216\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u6f20\u89c6\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u653f\u6cbb\u758f\u79bb\uff1b\u6700\u574f\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd8\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\u4eba\u4eec\u53d7\u6fc0\u8fdb\u53d9\u4e8b\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53d9\u4e8b\u5c06\u5f3a\u5236\u6216\u201c\u6cd5\u5916\u201d\u884c\u52a8\u5e38\u6001\u5316\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6b63\u4e49\u7684\u66ff\u4ee3\u54c1\u30022022\u5e74\u540e\u9000\u4f0d\u519b\u4eba\u590d\u5458\u7684\u89c4\u6a21\u4f30\u8ba1\u4e3a <a href=\"https:\/\/fba.se\/media\/ypdfqo5e\/fba-policy-brief-ukrainian-veterans-political-reintegration.pdf\">500\u4e07\u81f3800\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5bb6\u5c5e<\/a>\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u57282014\u5e74\u540e\u5c06\u6b66\u88c5\u5fd7\u613f\u8005\u7eb3\u5165\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ed3\u6784\u65b9\u9762\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u5148\u4f8b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u89c4\u6a21\u4e5f\u4ee4\u6311\u6218\u5728\u6027\u8d28\u4e0a\u4e0d\u540c\u4e8e\u4ee5\u5f80\u5468\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u51dd\u805a\u529b\u8fd8\u56e0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iom.int\/crisis-ukraine\">\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u6d41\u79bb\u5931\u6240<\/a>\u3001\u8eab\u5904\u56fd\u5916\u4e0e\u7559\u5728\u56fd\u5185\u7684\u516c\u6c11\u4e4b\u95f4\u4e0d\u5bf9\u7b49\u7684\u6218\u65f6\u7ecf\u5386\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u65e5\u76ca\u6c89\u91cd\u7684\u5fc3\u7406\u5065\u5eb7\u8d1f\u62c5\u800c\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u590d\u6742\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56e0\u7d20\u7d2f\u79ef\u6210\u75b2\u60eb\u4e0e\u6613\u6012\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u793e\u4f1a\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u95e8\u69db\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-3-policy-options-preventing-post-war-escalation\"><strong>3. \u653f\u7b56\u9009\u9879\uff1a\u9632\u6b62\u6218\u540e\u5347\u7ea7<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e3a\u964d\u4f4e\u6218\u540e\u793e\u4f1a\u77db\u76fe\u5347\u7ea7\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5e94\u5c06\u51dd\u805a\u529b\u89c6\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u901a\u8fc7\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\u3001\u516c\u5e73\u548c\u843d\u5b9e\u80fd\u529b\u6784\u5efa\u7684\u6cbb\u7406\u6210\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5177\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u8981\u4ece\u4e34\u65f6\u5371\u673a\u7ba1\u7406\u8f6c\u5411\u4e00\u5957\u8fde\u8d2f\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff1a\uff08a\uff09\u7ef4\u62a4\u56fd\u5bb6\u51b3\u7b56\u5728\u516c\u6c11\u773c\u4e2d\u7684\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\uff1b\uff08b\uff09\u8ba9\u6b63\u4e49\u548c\u5e73\u7b49\u6807\u51c6\u5728\u65e5\u5e38\u6267\u884c\u4e2d\u6e05\u6670\u53ef\u89c1\uff1b\uff08c\uff09\u4f9d\u6258\u771f\u6b63\u5177\u5907\u843d\u5b9e\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u673a\u6784\u548c\u4f19\u4f34\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u6269\u5927\u91cd\u65b0\u878d\u5165\u548c\u5fc3\u7406\u5065\u5eb7\u652f\u6301\u7684\u89c4\u6a21\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4ee5\u4e0b\u653f\u7b56\u9009\u9879\u9075\u5faa\u8fd9\u4e00\u987a\u5e8f\uff1a\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u7a33\u5b9a\u53d9\u4e8b\u4e0e\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\u73af\u5883\uff1b\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u5904\u7406\u6469\u64e6\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6218\u65f6\u4e49\u52a1\uff1b\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u5efa\u8bbe\u957f\u671f\u91cd\u65b0\u878d\u5165\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\uff0c\u9632\u6b62\u4e0d\u6ee1\u56fa\u5316\u4e3a\u653f\u6cbb\u51b2\u7a81\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-1-legitimacy-fairness-and-narrative-management\"><strong>1. \u5408\u6cd5\u6027\u3001\u516c\u5e73\u4e0e\u53d9\u4e8b\u7ba1\u7406<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5e94\u4ee5\u7ed3\u6784\u5316\u7684\u5766\u8bda\u8bf4\u660e\u548c\u5faa\u8bc1\u6c9f\u901a\uff0c\u53d6\u4ee3\u201c\u6c89\u9ed8\u4e0e\u56de\u907f\u201d\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002\u516c\u5f00\u627f\u8ba4\u6218\u65f6\u6cbb\u7406\u5931\u8d25\uff0c\u6e05\u695a\u89e3\u91ca\u9650\u5236\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u5e76\u5b9a\u671f\u62a5\u544a\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u53ef\u51cf\u5c11\u8c23\u8a00\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\u6124\u6012\uff0c\u5265\u593a\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u865a\u5047\u4fe1\u606f\u4ea7\u4e1a\u53ef\u5229\u7528\u7684\u6a21\u7cca\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5fc5\u987b\u8ba9\u516c\u5e73\u53d8\u5f97 <em>\u53ef\u89c1<\/em>\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u505c\u7559\u5728\u5047\u8bbe\u4e2d\uff1a\u516c\u6c11\u9700\u8981\u770b\u5230\u4e00\u81f4\u7684\u89c4\u5219\u3001\u5e73\u7b49\u7684\u6267\u884c\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6ee5\u7528\u884c\u4e3a\u53d7\u5230\u5207\u5b9e\u60e9\u5904\u3002\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u6c11\u95f4\u793e\u4f1a\u4e5f\u53ef\u5728\u8fd9\u4e00\u5c42\u9762\u9884\u5148\u904f\u5236\u6218\u540e\u6c61\u540d\u5316\u87ba\u65cb\uff08\u201c\u6218\u4e89\u671f\u95f4\u4f60\u5728\u54ea\u91cc\uff1f\u201d\uff09\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u7ed9\u5f52\u56fd\u8005\u3001\u8eab\u5904\u56fd\u5916\u7684\u7537\u6027\u4ee5\u53ca\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u9003\u907f\u5f81\u5175\u8005\u8d34\u4e0a\u9053\u5fb7\u6807\u7b7e\u3002\u8fd9\u5e76\u975e\u9053\u5fb7\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e3b\u4e49\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e00\u9879\u7ef4\u62a4\u793e\u4f1a\u51dd\u805a\u529b\u4e0e\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u53ef\u538b\u7f29\u653f\u6cbb\u6295\u673a\u8005\u548c\u654c\u5bf9\u4fe1\u606f\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u64cd\u4f5c\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u5f53\u53d9\u4e8b\u7ba1\u7406\u5f97\u5230\u516c\u6c11\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5408\u6cd5\u4e14\u5e73\u7b49\u7684\u7a0b\u5e8f\u652f\u6491\u65f6\uff0c\u5b83\u624d\u5177\u6709\u53ef\u4fe1\u5ea6\uff1b\u8fd9\u5728\u6218\u4e89\u4e2d\u6700\u654f\u611f\u7684\u9886\u57df\u2014\u2014\u52a8\u5458\u2014\u2014\u5c24\u4e3a\u5982\u6b64\u3002\u6ca1\u6709\u7a0b\u5e8f\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u4fe1\u606f\u51c6\u786e\u4e5f\u4f1a\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u63a8\u8bff\uff0c\u4e0d\u6ee1\u4ecd\u4f1a\u6301\u7eed\u7d2f\u79ef\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-2-mobilization-and-service-conditions-package\"><strong>2. \u52a8\u5458\u4e0e\u670d\u5f79\u6761\u4ef6\u65b9\u6848<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u52a8\u5458\u662f\u6218\u7565\u5fc5\u9700\uff0c\u4f46\u5f53\u7a0b\u5e8f\u663e\u5f97\u4e0d\u900f\u660e\u3001\u5e26\u6709\u7f9e\u8fb1\u6027\u6216\u88ab\u9009\u62e9\u6027\u6267\u884c\u65f6\uff0c\u5c31\u4f1a\u4fb5\u8680\u653f\u6cbb\u4fe1\u4efb\u3002&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">To stabilize the front-line presence, Ukraine should consider a strategic shift toward a high-incentive contract model. This includes significantly increasing base salaries and sign-on bonuses to transform service from a coercive mandate into a professional choice. Given domestic fiscal constraints, this &#8216;professionalization fund&#8217; could be structured as a targeted international aid program (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dw.com\/uk\/zelenskij-evropa-mogla-b-dopomogti-z-perehodom-vid-mobilizacii-do-kontraktiv\/a-76085043\">\u4e00\u9879\u8fd1\u671f\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u8bbe\u60f3<\/a> by the Ukrainian leadership) where European partners directly finance the wages of those defending the continent\u2019s security. This approach would not only increase recruitment throughput but also reduce the social friction caused by coercive &#8216;busification&#8217;.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1008\" height=\"430\" src=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-31.png\" alt=\"Cover image for: The Social Contract at War: Mobilization, Legitimacy, and Post-War Cohesion in Ukraine\" class=\"wp-image-35054\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-31.png 1008w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-31-600x256.png 600w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-31-768x328.png 768w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-31-18x8.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1008px) 100vw, 1008px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4e00\u9879\u57fa\u672c\u7684\u201c\u52a8\u5458\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\u65b9\u6848\u201d\u8fd8\u5e94\u7ed3\u5408\u5404\u5730\u533a\u6807\u51c6\u5316\u7a0b\u5e8f\u3001\u6709\u8bb0\u5f55\u7684\u76d1\u7763\u3001\u4fbf\u6377\u7684\u6295\u8bc9\u6e20\u9053\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bf9\u7eaa\u5f8b\u5904\u7406\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u516c\u5f00\u62a5\u544a\u3002\u82e5\u653f\u5e9c\u5f15\u5165<em>\u53ef\u9884\u671f\u7684<\/em>\u670d\u5f79\u671f\u9650\u4e0e\u8f6e\u6362\u539f\u5219\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f1a\u6781\u5176\u6709\u6548\u3002\u5373\u4f7f\u65e0\u6cd5\u5168\u9762\u590d\u5458\uff0c\u5173\u4e8e\u8f6e\u6362\u3001\u4f11\u6574\u5468\u671f\u4ee5\u53ca\u533b\u7597\u548c\u5fc3\u7406\u652f\u6301\u8def\u5f84\u7684\u900f\u660e\u903b\u8f91\uff0c\u4e5f\u80fd\u51cf\u5c11\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u5e76\u4fdd\u62a4\u58eb\u6c14\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u52a8\u5458\u5236\u5ea6\u5728\u7a0b\u5e8f\u4e0a\u5177\u6709\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\uff0c\u4e5f\u65e0\u6cd5\u4ec5\u51ed\u81ea\u8eab\u9632\u6b62\u6218\u540e\u793e\u4f1a\u5206\u5316\u3002\u9000\u4f0d\u519b\u4eba\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u8fd4\u4e61\u3001\u4eba\u53e3\u6d41\u79bb\u5931\u6240\u548c\u4e0d\u65ad\u7d2f\u79ef\u7684\u5fc3\u7406\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u4e00\u79cd\u80fd\u591f\u627f\u63a5\u9700\u6c42\u5e76\u5c06\u5176\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u5c31\u4e1a\u673a\u4f1a\u3001\u670d\u52a1\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u878d\u5165\u7684\u843d\u5b9e\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u80fd\u529b\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u4ef7\u503c\u89c2\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-3-whole-of-society-reintegration-capacity\"><strong>3. \u5168\u793e\u4f1a\u91cd\u65b0\u878d\u5165\u80fd\u529b<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6218\u540e\u7a33\u5b9a\u9700\u8981\u4e00\u79cd\u4e0e\u9700\u6c42\u89c4\u6a21\u76f8\u5339\u914d\u7684\u843d\u5b9e\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5e94\u5c06\u6218\u65f6\u8bc1\u660e\u6709\u6548\u7684\u201c\u5168\u793e\u4f1a\u201d\u673a\u5236\u5236\u5ea6\u5316\uff1a\u7531\u5e02\u653f\u5f53\u5c40\u3001\u9000\u4f0d\u519b\u4eba\u7ec4\u7ec7\u548c\u503c\u5f97\u4fe1\u8d56\u7684\u6c11\u95f4\u793e\u4f1a\u7f51\u7edc\u5171\u540c\u8bbe\u8ba1\u5e76\u5b9e\u65bd\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u83b7\u5f97\u4e2d\u592e\u5c42\u9762\u7684\u534f\u8c03\u548c\u8d44\u91d1\u652f\u6301\u3002\u5728\u6761\u4ef6\u5141\u8bb8\u65f6\uff0c\u516c\u79c1\u4f19\u4f34\u5173\u7cfb\u53ef\u6bd4\u5b8c\u5168\u7531\u4e2d\u592e\u7edf\u7b79\u7684\u9879\u76ee\u66f4\u5feb\u6269\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u5c31\u4e1a\u8854\u63a5\u3001\u518d\u57f9\u8bad\u3001\u652f\u6301\u9000\u4f0d\u519b\u4eba\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u573a\u6240\u6807\u51c6\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u91cd\u65b0\u878d\u5165\u7684\u4eba\u529b\u8d44\u6e90\u5b9e\u8df5\u65b9\u9762\u3002\u5fc3\u7406\u5065\u5eb7\u652f\u6301\u5e94\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u51dd\u805a\u529b\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u662f\u533b\u7597\u4e8b\u9879\uff1a\u901a\u8fc7\u793e\u533a\u670d\u52a1\u3001\u540c\u4f34\u652f\u6301\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e0e\u521d\u7ea7\u4fdd\u5065\u76f8\u8854\u63a5\u6765\u6269\u5927\u670d\u52a1\u53ef\u53ca\u6027\uff0c\u53ef\u964d\u4f4e\u5bb6\u5ead\u66b4\u529b\u3001\u836f\u7269\u6ee5\u7528\u4ee5\u53ca\u53d7\u6fc0\u8fdb\u53d9\u4e8b\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1004\" height=\"464\" src=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-33.png\" alt=\"Cover image for: The Social Contract at War: Mobilization, Legitimacy, and Post-War Cohesion in Ukraine\" class=\"wp-image-35056\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-33.png 1004w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-33-600x277.png 600w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-33-768x355.png 768w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-33-18x8.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1004px) 100vw, 1004px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>\u56fe\u7247\u9e23\u8c22\uff1a\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u5f00\u53d1\u8ba1\u5212\u7f72\u4e4c\u514b\u5170 \/ Reporters \/ Vyacheslav Ratynskyi\u3002\u8f7d\u4e8e <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/euneighbourseast.eu\/news\/publications\/adapting-to-civilian-life-entry-points-to-strengthen-veterans-reintegration-in-ukraine\/\"><em>\u9002\u5e94\u5e73\u6c11\u751f\u6d3b\uff1a\u52a0\u5f3a\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u9000\u4f0d\u519b\u4eba\u91cd\u65b0\u878d\u5165\u7684\u5207\u5165\u70b9<\/em><\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u603b\u4e4b\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u6218\u540e\u7a33\u5b9a\u4e0e\u5176\u8bf4\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u8a00\u8f9e\uff0c\u4e0d\u5982\u8bf4\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u516c\u6c11\u662f\u5426\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u56fd\u5bb6\u516c\u5e73\u3001\u53ef\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5e76\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u63a8\u8fdb\u91cd\u65b0\u878d\u5165\u3002\u82e5\u901a\u8fc7\u770b\u5f97\u89c1\u7684\u6b63\u4e49\u548c\u5168\u793e\u4f1a\u5171\u540c\u53c2\u4e0e\u6765\u91cd\u5efa\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\uff0c\u6700\u5177\u5206\u88c2\u6027\u7684\u6218\u65f6\u538b\u529b\u5c31\u80fd\u5f97\u5230\u904f\u5236\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u4f1a\u88ab\u6b66\u5668\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\"><em>\u672c\u7f51\u7ad9\u53d1\u8868\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u3001\u601d\u60f3\u548c\u610f\u89c1\u4ec5\u4ee3\u8868\u4f5c\u8005\u672c\u4eba\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u4ee3\u8868\u8de8\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u5bf9\u8bdd\u4e2d\u5fc3\u3001\u5176\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u6216\u5176\u9644\u5c5e\u7ec4\u7ec7\u3002\u6587\u7ae0\u65e8\u5728\u4fc3\u8fdb\u5bf9\u8bdd\u4e0e\u8ba8\u8bba\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u8de8\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u5bf9\u8bdd\u4e2d\u5fc3\u6216\u4f5c\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u5173\u8054\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u5176\u4ed6\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u653f\u7b56\u7acb\u573a\u3002<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In wartime, internal cohesion is a strategic resource. Russia\u2019s long-running efforts to portray Ukraine as inherently divided draw on older narratives of \u201cTwo Ukraines,\u201d but today\u2019s most destabilizing tensions are less regional than institutional. This article evaluates how these divides were manufactured and suggests that the path forward lies in addressing governance-linked friction rather than [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":35066,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[59,13],"tags":[],"topic":[99,98,87,86,92],"class_list":["post-35044","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-eng-central-eastern-europe","category-en-analyses","topic-disinformation","topic-religion","topic-security","topic-ukraine","topic-war"],"mb":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.6 (Yoast SEO v25.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Ukraine\u2019s Wartime Social Contract and Cohesion | TDC<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The paper maps Ukraine\u2019s wartime fault lines around language, 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