{"id":32054,"date":"2025-08-21T16:06:49","date_gmt":"2025-08-21T13:06:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/?p=32054"},"modified":"2025-11-05T11:57:58","modified_gmt":"2025-11-05T09:57:58","slug":"restoration-of-russian-gas-transit-through-ukraine-political-economic-and-geostrategic-consequences","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/zh\/2025\/08\/21\/restoration-of-russian-gas-transit-through-ukraine-political-economic-and-geostrategic-consequences\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6062\u590d\u7ecf\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u8f93\u9001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5929\u7136\u6c14\uff1a\u653f\u6cbb\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0e\u5730\u7f18\u6218\u7565\u540e\u679c"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-block-quick-download-button-download-button aligncenter qdbn-wrapper\"><div class=\"qdbn\" data-plugin-name=\"qdbn\" data-style=\"small\" data-file=\"hide-file\" data-size=\"hide-size\"><div class=\"qdbn-download-button-inner\"><button type=\"button\" data-button-type=\"small\" class=\"g-btn f-l\" style=\"background-color:#0e107b;color:#ffffff;border-radius:25px;border:1px solid #e2e2e2\" data-attachment-id=\"51882\" data-page-id=\"18850\" data-post-id=\"\" data-have-external=\"false\" data-external-url=\"\" data-wait-duration=\"0\" data-target-blank=\"true\" data-msg=\"Please wait...\" data-member=\"0\" data-has-icon-dark=\"false\" title=\"\u4e0b\u8f7d\u82f1\u6587\u7248 PDF\"><span class=\"download-btn-icon\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" width=\"22\" height=\"22\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M18 11.3l-1-1.1-4 4V3h-1.5v11.3L7 10.2l-1 1.1 6.2 5.8 5.8-5.8zm.5 3.7v3.5h-13V15H4v5h16v-5h-1.5z\"><\/path><\/svg><\/span><span>\u4e0b\u8f7d\u82f1\u6587\u7248 PDF<\/span><\/button><p class=\"up\" style=\"background:transparent;border-radius:0\"><i class=\"fi fi-pdf\"><\/i><\/p><p class=\"down\" style=\"background:transparent;border-radius:0\"><i class=\"fi-folder-o\"><\/i><span class=\"file-size\">877 KB<\/span><\/p><\/div><\/div><quick-download-button-info class=\"qdb-btn-info\"><\/quick-download-button-info><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u91cd\u70b9\u63a2\u8ba8\u6062\u590d\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u7ecf<br>\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u8fc7\u5883\u8fd0\u8f93\u53ef\u80fd\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u2014\u2014\u5728\u6301\u7eed\u8fdb\u884c\u7684\u548c\u5e73<br>\u8c08\u5224\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u57fa\u8f85\u4e0e\u83ab\u65af\u79d1\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u5730\u8ba8\u8bba\u8fd9\u4e00\u65b9\u6848\u3002\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u8bc4\u4f30\u6b64\u4e3e\u662f\u5426<br>\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u5229\u76ca\u4ee5\u53ca\u6b27\u6d32\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u5b89\u5168\u4f18\u5148\u4e8b\u9879\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u968f\u7740 Naftogaz\uff08\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u56fd\u5bb6<br>\u80fd\u6e90\u516c\u53f8\uff09\u4e0e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af Gazprom \u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u8fc7\u5883\u534f\u8bae\u4e8e 2019 \u5e74\u5e95\u5230\u671f\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170<br>\u81ea 2025 \u5e74 1 \u6708 1 \u65e5\u8d77\u6b63\u5f0f\u505c\u6b62\u5411\u6b27\u76df\u8f93\u9001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u51b3\u5b9a\u6807\u5fd7\u7740<br>\u6b27\u6d32\u80fd\u6e90\u683c\u5c40\u7684\u91cd\u5927\u8f6c\u53d8\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5c3d\u7ba1\u505c\u6b62\u8fc7\u5883\u8fd0\u8f93\u7ed9\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u9020\u6210\u7ecf\u6d4e\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u5bfc\u81f4<br>substantial weakening of the Russian Federation&#8217;s position within the European energy market.<br>This, in turn, diminished the Kremlin&#8217;s capacity to utilize energy resources as a political instrument.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u53d8\u5316\uff1a<\/strong> \u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u6301\u7eed\u4fb5\u7565\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\uff0c\u52a0\u4e4b<br>European Union&#8217;s (EU) endeavors to diversify its energy sources, has resulted in a significant<br>\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u8fdb\u53e3\u91cf\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5176\u5360\u6bd4<br>\u4ece 2020 \u5e74\u6b27\u76df\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u4f9b\u5e94\u91cf\u7684 41% \u964d\u81f3 2023 \u5e74\u7684\u4ec5 9%\u3002\u7ecf\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u8fc7\u5883\u8fd0\u8f93\u4e8e<br>2025 \u5e74\u521d\u7ec8\u6b62\uff0c\u4f46\u5e76\u672a\u4e25\u91cd\u6270\u4e71\u6b27\u76df\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u5b89\u5168<br>Union. However, it did result in the Russian Federation&#8217;s loss of revenues from gas sales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u5bf9\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f71\u54cd\uff1a <\/strong>\u505c\u6b62\u8fc7\u5883\u8fd0\u8f93\u5c06\u4f7f\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6bcf\u5e74\u635f\u5931\u9ad8\u8fbe 10 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684<br>\u6536\u5165\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u622a\u81f3 2025 \u5e74 4 \u6708\uff0c\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u50a8\u5907\u5df2\u964d\u81f3\u4ec5 7 \u4ebf\u7acb\u65b9\u7c73<br>\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u88ad\u51fb\u5bfc\u81f4\u56fd\u5185\u4ea7\u91cf\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u8fdb\u800c\u4f7f\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u5929\u7136\u6c14<br>\u8fdb\u53e3\u6210\u672c\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u66ff\u4ee3\u6027\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u8fc7\u5883\u8fd0\u8f93\u65b9\u6848\uff1a<\/strong> \u76f8\u5173\u65b9\u6848\u5305\u62ec\u4f7f\u7528\u963f\u585e\u62dc\u7586\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u3001<br>\u7531\u6b27\u6d32\u516c\u53f8\u76f4\u63a5\u9884\u8ba2\u8fc7\u5883\u8fd0\u529b\uff0c\u6216\u56f4\u7ed5\u5229\u7528\u4e4c\u514b\u5170<br>\u5730\u4e0b\u50a8\u6c14\u8bbe\u65bd\u5f00\u5c55\u6218\u7565\u5408\u4f5c\uff1b\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b9\u6848\u5747\u5728\u8003\u8651\u4e4b\u5217\uff0c\u4f46\u6bcf\u79cd\u65b9\u6848\u90fd\u9762\u4e34\u6280\u672f\u3001\u6cd5\u5f8b\u6216\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb<br>\u969c\u788d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div data-wp-interactive=\"core\/file\" class=\"wp-block-file\"><object data-wp-bind--hidden=\"!state.hasPdfPreview\" hidden class=\"wp-block-file__embed\" data=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/TDC_Restoration-of-Russian-Gas-Transit-2.pdf\" type=\"application\/pdf\" style=\"width:100%;height:1006px\" aria-label=\"\u5d4c\u5165 TDC_Restoration-of-Russian-Gas-Transit\"><\/object><a id=\"wp-block-file--media-1c507d5d-7368-4d12-86dd-915c1b95d495\" href=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/TDC_Restoration-of-Russian-Gas-Transit-2.pdf\">TDC_Restoration-of-Russian-Gas-Transit<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\"><em>\u672c\u51fa\u7248\u7269\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u590d\u5174\u57fa\u91d1\u4f1a\u7684\u652f\u6301\u4e0b\u7f16\u5199\u3002\u5176\u5185\u5bb9\u5b8c\u5168\u7531\u4f5c\u8005\u8d1f\u8d23\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u5fc5\u7136\u53cd\u6620\u56fd\u9645\u590d\u5174\u57fa\u91d1\u4f1a\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u3002<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This study focuses on the potential implications of resuming Russian natural gas transit throughUkraine \u2013 a scenario that is increasingly being discussed in the context of ongoing peacenegotiations between Kyiv and Moscow. The study assesses whether such a move would be inline with Ukraine\u2019s national interests and Europe\u2019s broader energy security priorities. Following the expiration [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":32057,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[53,71],"tags":[],"topic":[],"class_list":["post-32054","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-reports-handbooks","category-eng-reports-eu-ukraine-partnership-program"],"mb":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.6 (Yoast SEO v25.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Restoring Russian Gas Transit Through Ukraine | TDC<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Resuming Russian gas transit through Ukraine could affect Kyiv\u2019s interests and Europe\u2019s energy security amid political and economic trade-offs.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" 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