{"id":33147,"date":"2025-11-24T12:57:54","date_gmt":"2025-11-24T10:57:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/?p=33147"},"modified":"2025-11-24T17:39:19","modified_gmt":"2025-11-24T15:39:19","slug":"daryna-sydorenko-for-warsaw-institute-russias-next-attack-may-find-gaps-where-unity-once-held-firm","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/uk\/2025\/11\/24\/daryna-sydorenko-for-warsaw-institute-russias-next-attack-may-find-gaps-where-unity-once-held-firm\/","title":{"rendered":"Daryna Sydorenko for Warsaw Institute: Russia\u2019s next attack may find gaps where unity once held firm"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In her article for Warsaw Institute, TDC`s Director of Research Daryna Sydorenko analyzed the precedent of the violation of Poland&#8217;s territorial integrity by Russian drones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The September 10 drone incursions into Poland showed how Russia can impose disproportionate costs on NATO with low-price systems while sowing doubt through disinformation. The alliance\u2019s initial response demonstrated solidarity but also revealed hesitation and divergent threat perceptions \u2013 precisely the weaknesses Moscow seeks to exploit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Three priorities emerge.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>First, allies must scale production of affordable air- and missile-defense systems, including counter-drone components, and embed industrial resilience into defense strategy.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Second, air defense must be treated as a shared asset, integrating Ukrainian operational innovations and ensuring national stockpiling does not undermine alliance support.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Third, hybrid and information operations must be countered proactively: Moscow will continue to wage narrative campaigns in tandem with kinetic probes. They require sustained political unity and forward-leaning deterrence as a response.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The credibility of NATO\u2019s deterrence will be measured by whether these lessons evolve into enduring institutional changes (industrial, operational, and political) that would make other possible hybrid attacks meaningless. Without such developments, Russia\u2019s next attack may find gaps where unity once held firm.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Read full article in the <a href=\"https:\/\/warsawinstitute.org\/moscows-creeping-escalation-hybrid-pressure-on-poland-and-the-alliance\/\">Warsaw Intitute<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"900\" height=\"450\" src=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/7ecda2a44bb0feb42a9be71d09548005.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-33149\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/7ecda2a44bb0feb42a9be71d09548005.webp 900w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/7ecda2a44bb0feb42a9be71d09548005-600x300.webp 600w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/7ecda2a44bb0feb42a9be71d09548005-768x384.webp 768w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/7ecda2a44bb0feb42a9be71d09548005-18x9.webp 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 900px) 100vw, 900px\" \/><\/figure>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In her article for Warsaw Institute, TDC`s Director of Research Daryna Sydorenko analyzed the precedent of the violation of Poland&#8217;s territorial integrity by Russian drones. The September 10 drone incursions into Poland showed how Russia can impose disproportionate costs on NATO with low-price systems while sowing doubt through disinformation. The alliance\u2019s initial response demonstrated solidarity [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":33149,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[29,107],"tags":[],"topic":[],"class_list":["post-33147","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-media","category-eu-ukraine-partnership-program-media"],"mb":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.6 (Yoast SEO v25.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Daryna Sydorenko for Warsaw Institute: Russia\u2019s next attack may find gaps where unity once held firm - Transatlantic Dialogue Center<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Russian drones disrupt Polish airspace, exposing NATO vulnerabilities. Learn how allies must adapt deterrence and defense.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/uk\/2025\/11\/24\/daryna-sydorenko-for-warsaw-institute-russias-next-attack-may-find-gaps-where-unity-once-held-firm\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"uk_UA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Daryna Sydorenko for Warsaw Institute: Russia\u2019s next attack may find gaps where unity once held firm\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Transatlantic Dialogue Center (TDC) is a non-governmental and non-partisan think tank that provides high-quality policy advice to private and public clients. The network of our friends and partners includes government officials, members of parliaments, businessmen, journalists, experts and analysts.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/uk\/2025\/11\/24\/daryna-sydorenko-for-warsaw-institute-russias-next-attack-may-find-gaps-where-unity-once-held-firm\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Transatlantic Dialogue Center\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/Transatlantic-Dialogue-Center-105645698740463\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-11-24T10:57:54+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-11-24T15:39:19+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/7ecda2a44bb0feb42a9be71d09548005.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"900\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"450\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Daryna Sydorenko\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u041d\u0430\u043f\u0438\u0441\u0430\u043d\u043e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Daryna Sydorenko\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"\u041f\u0440\u0438\u0431\u043b. \u0447\u0430\u0441 \u0447\u0438\u0442\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 \u0445\u0432\u0438\u043b\u0438\u043d\u0438\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/2025\/11\/24\/daryna-sydorenko-for-warsaw-institute-russias-next-attack-may-find-gaps-where-unity-once-held-firm\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/2025\/11\/24\/daryna-sydorenko-for-warsaw-institute-russias-next-attack-may-find-gaps-where-unity-once-held-firm\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Daryna Sydorenko\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/#\/schema\/person\/98e2f5bb6c890bd0e4fb5c6144121453\"},\"headline\":\"Daryna Sydorenko for Warsaw Institute: Russia\u2019s next attack may find gaps where unity once held firm\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-11-24T10:57:54+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-11-24T15:39:19+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/2025\/11\/24\/daryna-sydorenko-for-warsaw-institute-russias-next-attack-may-find-gaps-where-unity-once-held-firm\/\"},\"wordCount\":220,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/2025\/11\/24\/daryna-sydorenko-for-warsaw-institute-russias-next-attack-may-find-gaps-where-unity-once-held-firm\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/7ecda2a44bb0feb42a9be71d09548005.webp\",\"articleSection\":[\"Media Mentions\",\"Media-EU-Ukraine Partnership Program\"],\"inLanguage\":\"uk\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/2025\/11\/24\/daryna-sydorenko-for-warsaw-institute-russias-next-attack-may-find-gaps-where-unity-once-held-firm\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/2025\/11\/24\/daryna-sydorenko-for-warsaw-institute-russias-next-attack-may-find-gaps-where-unity-once-held-firm\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/2025\/11\/24\/daryna-sydorenko-for-warsaw-institute-russias-next-attack-may-find-gaps-where-unity-once-held-firm\/\",\"name\":\"Daryna Sydorenko for Warsaw Institute: Russia\u2019s next attack may find gaps where unity once held firm - Transatlantic Dialogue Center\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/2025\/11\/24\/daryna-sydorenko-for-warsaw-institute-russias-next-attack-may-find-gaps-where-unity-once-held-firm\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/2025\/11\/24\/daryna-sydorenko-for-warsaw-institute-russias-next-attack-may-find-gaps-where-unity-once-held-firm\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/7ecda2a44bb0feb42a9be71d09548005.webp\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-11-24T10:57:54+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-11-24T15:39:19+00:00\",\"description\":\"Russian drones disrupt Polish airspace, exposing NATO vulnerabilities. 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