{"id":6553,"date":"2022-09-22T10:38:07","date_gmt":"2022-09-22T07:38:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/?p=6553"},"modified":"2025-08-21T14:37:58","modified_gmt":"2025-08-21T11:37:58","slug":"nuclear-power-a-trifle-for-russia-and-a-catastrophe-for-the-world","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/it\/2022\/09\/22\/nuclear-power-a-trifle-for-russia-and-a-catastrophe-for-the-world\/","title":{"rendered":"Energia nucleare: un\u2019inezia per la Russia e una catastrofe per il mondo"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-block-quick-download-button-download-button aligncenter qdbn-wrapper\"><div class=\"qdbn\" data-plugin-name=\"qdbn\" data-style=\"large\" data-file=\"hide-file\" data-size=\"hide-size\"><div class=\"qdbn-download-button-inner\"><button type=\"button\" data-button-type=\"large\" class=\"g-btn f-l\" style=\"background-color:#FFFFFF;border-radius:25px;border:1px solid #e2e2e2\" data-attachment-id=\"14817\" data-page-id=\"8262\" data-post-id=\"\" data-have-external=\"false\" data-external-url=\"\" data-wait-duration=\"0\" data-target-blank=\"false\" data-msg=\"Please wait...\" data-member=\"0\" data-has-icon-dark=\"true\" title=\"Scarica il PDF in inglese\"><span class=\"download-btn-icon\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" width=\"22\" height=\"22\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M18 11.3l-1-1.1-4 4V3h-1.5v11.3L7 10.2l-1 1.1 6.2 5.8 5.8-5.8zm.5 3.7v3.5h-13V15H4v5h16v-5h-1.5z\"><\/path><\/svg><\/span><span>Scarica il PDF in inglese<\/span><\/button><p class=\"up\" style=\"border-radius:0\"><i class=\"fi fi-pdf\"><\/i><\/p><p class=\"down\" style=\"border-radius:0\"><i class=\"fi-folder-o\"><\/i><span class=\"file-size\">445 KB<\/span><\/p><\/div><\/div><quick-download-button-info class=\"qdb-btn-info\"><\/quick-download-button-info><\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\">\n<figure class=\"alignright size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"391\" height=\"293\" src=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/image-17.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6556\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/image-17.png 391w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/image-17-16x12.png 16w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 391px) 100vw, 391px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>La pi\u00f9 grande centrale elettrica europea \u00e8 occupata.<\/strong> Dove porteranno i continui bombardamenti delle truppe russe contro questo potente impianto nucleare? La Russia sta giocando con <strong>strumenti affilati<\/strong> senza capire che il potenziale nucleare non \u00e8 n\u00e9 un giocattolo n\u00e9 un gingillo. Se un proiettile colpisce quel punto vulnerabile, le conseguenze riguarderanno non solo l\u2019Ucraina, ma anche l\u2019UE, gli Stati membri della NATO e, infine, la stessa Russia. Ciononostante, Putin continua a <strong>usare l\u2019energia come arma<\/strong>; dapprima si trattava di <strong>manipolazioni del gas<\/strong> e ora di <strong>ricatto nucleare<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Con l\u2019occupazione delle centrali nucleari, l\u2019aggressore persegue pi\u00f9 obiettivi contemporaneamente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-1-the-cover-for-their-troops\"><strong>1. Uno scudo per le proprie truppe<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Presso la centrale, la Russia crea uno scudo affidabile per le proprie truppe, poich\u00e9 pochi rischierebbero di bombardare nei pressi di una centrale nucleare. Al contempo, i russi spesso osano farlo per <strong>attribuire la colpa alla<\/strong> parte ucraina e presentarla come incontrollata e inaffidabile. L\u2019Ucraina non ha alcun interesse a bombardare la ZNPP, poich\u00e9 essa \u00e8 <strong>di grande importanza <\/strong>per l\u2019intero sistema energetico ucraino.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-2-raw-material-for-a-weapon\"><strong>2. Materia prima per un\u2019arma<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\">\n<figure class=\"alignleft size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"430\" height=\"245\" src=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/image-18.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6557\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/image-18.png 430w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/image-18-18x10.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 430px) 100vw, 430px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La Russia ha ora accesso al combustibile nucleare caricato nei reattori, che potrebbe diventare materia prima per la creazione di armi nucleari. Secondo la Societ\u00e0 nazionale ucraina per la produzione di energia nucleare \u00abEnergoatom\u00bb, vi sono <strong>oltre 22.000 elementi di combustibile esaurito dei reattori <\/strong>nei depositi di combustibile nucleare esaurito. Una quantit\u00e0 cos\u00ec rilevante di plutonio-239 pu\u00f2 essere trasformata in una <strong>bomba nucleare,<\/strong> e le conseguenze umanitarie ed ecologiche di un simile disastro non conoscerebbero <strong>confini<\/strong> n\u00e9 per la NATO n\u00e9 per gli Stati dell\u2019UE.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-3-blackmail\"><strong>3. Ricatto<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La Federazione Russa cerca di ricattare l\u2019Europa e il mondo evocando la possibilit\u00e0 di un incidente in un impianto di tale portata e rischio radiologico. Nel peggiore degli scenari, se la centrale nucleare di Zaporizhzhia venisse fatta esplodere, <strong>ne sarebbero colpite l\u2019Ucraina, l\u2019Europa e la stessa Russia<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The highest concentrations of radioactive aerosols will be observed in the near zone with a radius of <strong>50-100 km<\/strong> in all directions from the emission source. Significant concentrations of radionuclides may reach <strong>Kyiv<\/strong> e <strong>Donbas<\/strong>. In case of an accident at the ZNPP, the radiation cloud could, except for Ukraine, affect <strong>Poland<\/strong>, <strong>Belarus<\/strong>, <strong>the Baltic states<\/strong>, as well as the border regions of <strong>Russia<\/strong> &#8211; Belgorod, Rostov, Kursk, as well as the <strong>Crimea<\/strong> annexed by Russia. That will depend on the wind and luck. In case of an accident, the nearest territory will be <strong>unfit for human life<\/strong>. It will affect the health of the population and no one will be able to live on the territory for a long time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Vogliamo affidarci alla clemenza del destino? O preferiamo impegnarci a costruire noi stessi il nostro destino? La mancanza di prudenza russa potrebbe costare la vita a molti.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\">\n<figure class=\"alignright size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"366\" height=\"260\" src=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/image-19.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6558\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/image-19.png 366w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/image-19-18x12.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 366px) 100vw, 366px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Il ricatto \u00e8 una situazione in cui tutti perdono<\/strong>. La manipolazione avr\u00e0 successo solo se l\u2019avversario sar\u00e0 cos\u00ec spaventato da essere pronto ad accettare qualsiasi condizione. Altrimenti, il ricatto \u00e8 <strong>destinato a fallire<\/strong> e comporta conseguenze pi\u00f9 gravi per chi lo mette in atto. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nel tentativo di costringere l\u2019Ucraina a tornare al tavolo dei negoziati e di usare la ZNPP per acquisire una posizione di forza, la leadership russa ha commesso <strong>un altro errore<\/strong> nel valutare la ferma determinazione degli ucraini a opporsi al copione scritto dal Cremlino. Ora \u00e8 evidente che, annunciando ufficialmente la minaccia, la Russia si \u00e8 messa in una posizione in cui dovr\u00e0 o ritirarsi, dimostrando che la sua minaccia \u00e8 una <strong>frase vuota,<\/strong> oppure metterla in atto. In quest\u2019ultimo caso, ne deriverebbe un caos in cui <strong>non vi \u00e8 alcun vantaggio pratico <\/strong>per l\u2019autore del ricatto. \u00c8 improbabile che l\u2019obiettivo finale della guerra sia trasformare l\u2019Ucraina in un deserto radioattivo, poich\u00e9 allora la narrazione russa sulla protezione della popolazione russofona e dei bambini del Donbas sarebbe <strong>irrilevante.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Per questo far esplodere la centrale nucleare, o ricattare minacciando di farlo, \u00e8 del tutto <strong>sconsiderato<\/strong>, ma tatticamente utile come complemento della strategia esistente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-4-control-over-the-ukrainian-energy-system\"><strong>4. Controllo del sistema energetico ucraino<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">60% of Ukraine&#8217;s electricity is generated by nuclear power plants, and the seizure of the Russian ZNPP weakens the Ukrainian energy system. The Russians may also consider the scenario of <strong>distacco<\/strong> della centrale dal sistema elettrico ucraino e del <strong>furto<\/strong> di elettricit\u00e0 ucraina*<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-5-acts-of-sabotage-panic-and-mass-migration\"><strong>5. Atti di sabotaggio, panico e migrazione di massa<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While at the station, Russia carries out various <strong>acts of sabotage<\/strong> as well as creates <strong>panic<\/strong> e <strong>mass migration<\/strong> of the population. During the arrival of the IAEA mission to the Zaporizhzhia NPP, the Russians convinced the representatives of the mission that not Russian combat units, but radiological, chemical, and biological protection troops were at the station. The occupiers also hypocritically blamed the Ukrainian side for the shelling. &#8220;It was a circus,&#8221; comments an employee of ZNPP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-russian-military-object-and-its-consequences\"><strong>Un sito militare russo e le sue conseguenze<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\">\n<figure class=\"alignleft size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"445\" height=\"263\" src=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/image-20.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6559\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/image-20.png 445w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/image-20-18x12.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 445px) 100vw, 445px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In effetti, la centrale nucleare di Zaporizhzhia \u00e8 stata recentemente trasformata in un <strong>sito militare russo<\/strong>, il che \u00e8 <strong>inaccettabile<\/strong> per un impianto con potenziale nucleare. L\u2019interazione tra sostanze esplosive e combustibile radioattivo \u00e8 una via diretta verso una <strong>catastrofe globale<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Counter-Disinformation Center at the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine reports that &#8220;the Russians organized a warehouse of ammunition and military equipment on the territory of the ZNPP, and they continue to shell the station&#8230; On August 5, Russian invaders damaged a high-voltage line, communication cables, and a roof, windows, and walls of the storage. On August 11, a hit was recorded near the welding station and the storage of radiation sources, the nitrogen-oxygen station, and the integrated backup unit were significantly damaged\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On the morning of September 1, due to a Russian mortar fire, the Zaporizhzhia NPP&#8217;s emergency protection shut down operating unit No. 5. The operating unit was disconnected and the station was de-energized for the second time in the last 10 days. Although on September 2, Unit No. 5 was reconnected to the power supply, the occupiers <strong>non hanno esitato a riprendere i bombardamenti<\/strong>. Agendo in questo modo, l\u2019esercito russo cerca di costringere l\u2019Ucraina alla resa in cambio della salvaguardia dell\u2019impianto da cui dipende la sicurezza energetica ucraina.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;The Russian military and political leadership are not ashamed to present to the world that they are carrying out <strong>nuclear terrorism<\/strong> e <strong>placing military equipment<\/strong> on the territory of a working nuclear plant,&#8221; Ukrainian Ombudsman Dmytro Lubinets said. &#8220;The occupiers are detaining, torturing, and killing workers of the Zaporizhzhia NPP. This is not only a war crime against the civilians but also a violation of the principles of nuclear safety, one of which is the preservation of the safety of the team in charge of the facility.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Inoltre, l\u2019incidente alla ZNPP potrebbe essere causato dalla <strong>negligenza russa<\/strong>. Gli occupanti non sanno come mantenere un simile impianto, mentre il trattamento del personale ucraino pu\u00f2 <strong>difficilmente essere definito tollerabile<\/strong>. Le azioni sconsiderate della Russia possono provocare <strong>interruzioni di corrente<\/strong> nelle regioni meridionali dell\u2019Ucraina e la <strong>scarsit\u00e0 di energia <\/strong>per i suoi abitanti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-international-reaction\"><strong>Reazione internazionale<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\">\n<figure class=\"alignright size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"390\" height=\"219\" src=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/image-21.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6560\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/image-21.png 390w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/image-21-18x10.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 390px) 100vw, 390px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Al contempo, le minacce russe non fanno che mobilitare gli sforzi internazionali contro il terrorismo nucleare. In tutto il mondo si sta formando una coalizione antirussa di almeno 42 Paesi. La <strong>missione di monitoraggio dell\u2019AIEA alla centrale nucleare di Zaporizhzhia<\/strong> ha confermato che i bombardamenti possono danneggiare attrezzature vitali e portare a un <strong>rilascio illimitato di materiali radioattivi<\/strong>. Si afferma inoltre che tutte le parti devono concordare la creazione di una zona di protezione attorno alla centrale nucleare per evitare danni. Ma \u00e8 possibile accordarsi con la Russia, che ha bombardato il territorio persino durante la visita dell\u2019AIEA? \u00c8 difficile rispondere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Purtroppo, la missione dell\u2019AIEA <strong>non \u00e8 riuscita<\/strong> a introdurre alcun meccanismo efficace e pratico per risolvere la situazione. L\u2019AIEA non \u00e8 inoltre riuscita a rispettare l\u2019accordo che la impegnava a fare tutto il possibile per consentire ai media indipendenti di accedere alla centrale. I rappresentanti dei media sono stati fermati a un posto di blocco dai militari russi e non hanno potuto proseguire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>In realt\u00e0, il Cremlino ha segnato una nuova pagina nella storia del terrorismo, minacciando apertamente il mondo con una catastrofe nucleare. Per la prima volta nella storia, gli occupanti russi hanno trasformato un impianto nucleare civile in un bersaglio militare e in un luogo di dispiegamento del proprio esercito. La Russia riconosce l\u2019impossibilit\u00e0 di ottenere risultati significativi nella guerra contro l\u2019Ucraina senza ricorrere al ricatto nucleare.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cosa accadr\u00e0 ora? O la comunit\u00e0 internazionale svilupper\u00e0 un meccanismo chiaro per evitare lo scenario peggiore, oppure questo scenario diventer\u00e0 realt\u00e0. E questa realt\u00e0 potrebbe arrivare gi\u00e0 nel minuto successivo. <strong>La Russia \u00e8 colpevole, ma non si deve tollerare nemmeno l\u2019inerzia. <\/strong>We need to think about whether we want another nuclear disaster in the pages of the history textbook. If not, we need to act. Now. \u201cIt is out of my business&#8221; thoughts are intolerable because <strong>in gioco c\u2019\u00e8 moltissimo: territorio che diventer\u00e0 sterile, grano che non sar\u00e0 pi\u00f9 esportato, persone che patiranno difficolt\u00e0 e la crisi mondiale nel suo complesso, che non far\u00e0 che aggravarsi.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sta a noi agire. Agire ora.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>* Al momento della pubblicazione dell\u2019articolo, a causa di un incendio provocato dai bombardamenti, \u00e8 stata disattivata l\u2019ultima linea che collegava la centrale al sistema energetico dell\u2019Ucraina. La sesta unit\u00e0 di potenza \u00e8 stata scaricata e disconnessa dalla rete.<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The largest European power plant is occupied. Where will the permanent shelling of the powerful nuclear facility by the Russian troops lead to? Russia is playing with edge-tools without understanding the fact that nuclear potential is neither a toy nor a trinket. If the shell hits \u201cthat\u201d vulnerable place, it will affect not only Ukraine, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":6558,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[59,64,13,31],"tags":[],"topic":[97,116,84,87,86,92],"class_list":["post-6553","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-eng-central-eastern-europe","category-central-eastern-europe-ger-analyses","category-en-analyses","category-ger-analyses","topic-energy","topic-hybrid-warfare","topic-russia","topic-security","topic-ukraine","topic-war"],"mb":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.6 (Yoast SEO v25.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Russia\u2019s Nuclear Threats to Ukraine and Europe | TDC<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This analysis examines the risks created by 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