{"id":23474,"date":"2024-04-18T10:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-04-18T07:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/?p=23474"},"modified":"2025-08-12T18:38:12","modified_gmt":"2025-08-12T15:38:12","slug":"ukraine-in-the-pre-election-campaign-in-the-united-states","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/it\/2024\/04\/18\/ukraine-in-the-pre-election-campaign-in-the-united-states\/","title":{"rendered":"L\u2019Ucraina nella campagna elettorale negli Stati Uniti"},"content":{"rendered":"<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-by-anna-mariia-mandzii\"><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-quick-download-button-download-button aligncenter qdbn-wrapper\"><div class=\"qdbn\" data-plugin-name=\"qdbn\" data-style=\"small\" data-file=\"hide-file\" data-size=\"hide-size\"><div class=\"qdbn-download-button-inner\"><button type=\"button\" data-button-type=\"small\" class=\"g-btn f-l\" style=\"background-color:#0e107b;color:#ffffff;border-radius:25px;border:1px solid #e2e2e2\" data-attachment-id=\"42177\" data-page-id=\"18850\" data-post-id=\"\" data-have-external=\"false\" data-external-url=\"\" data-wait-duration=\"0\" data-target-blank=\"true\" data-msg=\"Please wait...\" data-member=\"0\" data-has-icon-dark=\"false\" title=\"Scarica il PDF in inglese\"><span class=\"download-btn-icon\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" width=\"22\" height=\"22\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M18 11.3l-1-1.1-4 4V3h-1.5v11.3L7 10.2l-1 1.1 6.2 5.8 5.8-5.8zm.5 3.7v3.5h-13V15H4v5h16v-5h-1.5z\"><\/path><\/svg><\/span><span>Scarica il PDF in inglese<\/span><\/button><p class=\"up\" style=\"background:transparent;border-radius:0\"><i class=\"fi fi-pdf\"><\/i><\/p><p class=\"down\" style=\"background:transparent;border-radius:0\"><i class=\"fi-folder-o\"><\/i><span class=\"file-size\">2 MB<\/span><\/p><\/div><\/div><quick-download-button-info class=\"qdb-btn-info\"><\/quick-download-button-info><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-key-takeaways\">Punti chiave<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Dinamiche e sfide elettorali:<\/strong> <strong>Donald Trump<\/strong>&nbsp;\u00e8 gravato da problemi legali e dalla necessit\u00e0 di unificare una base repubblicana frammentata, mentre sottolinea i risultati economici del suo precedente mandato per conquistare gli elettori delusi dalle attuali politiche economiche. <strong>Joe Biden<\/strong>&nbsp;deve affrontare il compito cruciale di mantenere il sostegno dei gruppi elettorali decisivi (afroamericani, elettori latinoamericani, giovani e donne), tra le critiche alle sue politiche economiche e migratorie. La sua campagna \u00e8 ulteriormente complicata dal malcontento per la sua posizione sul conflitto Israele-Hamas, in particolare tra i giovani elettori e le importanti comunit\u00e0 degli stati in bilico come il Michigan.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>La questione ucraina:<\/strong> The war in Ukraine emerges as a significant foreign policy challenge, testing the candidates&#8217; diplomatic strategies and their implications for U.S. global leadership. <strong>Biden&#8217;s approach<\/strong> \u00e8 incentrato sul sostegno all\u2019Ucraina come difesa dei valori democratici e della sicurezza nazionale, evidenziando i benefici economici degli aiuti degli Stati Uniti all\u2019Ucraina. <strong>Trump&#8217;s stance<\/strong> sull\u2019Ucraina \u00e8 caratterizzata da incoerenza e lascia presagire un possibile cambiamento nella politica estera degli Stati Uniti, che potrebbe influenzare la percezione americana e internazionale del conflitto. I suoi commenti sulla fornitura di aiuti e sulle tattiche negoziali rivelano una pi\u00f9 ampia frattura ideologica nell\u2019elettorato americano riguardo all\u2019assistenza e all\u2019impegno all\u2019estero.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Sentimento degli elettori e questioni chiave<\/strong>: Le preoccupazioni economiche, le politiche interne e la gestione dei conflitti esteri da parte dei candidati, in particolare la situazione in Ucraina, sono centrali per il sentimento degli elettori. Trump punta a capitalizzare la percezione positiva dell\u2019economia durante il suo mandato, mentre Biden sottolinea le proprie credenziali in politica estera e i vantaggi economici del sostegno all\u2019Ucraina.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>La polarizzazione sulla questione ucraina riflette divisioni ideologiche pi\u00f9 profonde negli Stati Uniti, con livelli diversi di sostegno agli aiuti statunitensi all\u2019Ucraina a seconda dell\u2019appartenenza politica. Solleva inoltre interrogativi sull\u2019influenza della politica estera sui risultati elettorali.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Strategie elettorali<\/strong>: Both candidates must strategically navigate the complex landscape of American politics, balancing the appeal to their bases with the need to address broader national and international concerns. The role of suburban voters and the impact of candidates&#8217; positions on issues like support for Ukraine and economic policies underscore the intricate calculus of electoral success.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"376\" src=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-6-1024x376.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23476\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-6-1024x376.png 1024w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-6-600x220.png 600w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-6-768x282.png 768w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-6-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-6.png 1239w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La campagna elettorale negli Stati Uniti \u00e8 attualmente in pieno svolgimento, con i candidati in competizione per ottenere attenzione e sostegno in tutto il Paese. Con l\u2019avanzare delle primarie, appare sempre pi\u00f9 probabile assistere a una nuova sfida tra l\u2019ex presidente Trump e il presidente in carica Biden nelle elezioni generali del novembre 2024. Inoltre, il presidente Biden ha gi\u00e0 ottenuto un numero significativo di delegati durante le primarie, imponendosi come probabile candidato del Partito Democratico. La sua nomina formale dovrebbe avvenire alla Convention nazionale democratica nell\u2019agosto 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Attualmente, i sondaggi d\u2019opinione suggeriscono che Trump e Biden siano testa a testa per quanto riguarda il sostegno nazionale dell\u2019elettorato, con lievi fluttuazioni periodiche. Questa gara serrata rende difficile prevedere con certezza l\u2019esito. Il divario tra i due \u00e8 estremamente ristretto e la natura dinamica della politica implica che la situazione potrebbe evolvere significativamente nel corso del 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, despite the political landscape, Donald Trump faces a multitude of legal challenges. He has been charged with dozens of crimes across four separate cases, including two federal cases in New York and Georgia. Notably, in a civil fraud trial in New York, he was slapped with a staggering fine exceeding $450 million. In a recent development, the former president&#8217;s legal team disclosed that he could not post the required $454 million bond, which would have temporarily halted the proceedings against him in the latter case. This financial constraint adds a significant layer of complexity to his legal predicament.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It&#8217;s worth highlighting that national polls reveal a stark divide in public opinion regarding the legal implications surrounding former President Trump. Approximately 34% of U.S. citizens, which accounts for a third of the population, advocate for granting Trump immunity from criminal prosecution. In contrast, a significant majority of 65% oppose such immunity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Of particular interest is the stance among Republican voters, where a notable 68% believe that Trump&#8217;s alleged illegal activities during his presidential tenure should not result in prosecution. This divergence in viewpoints underscores the deep-seated polarization within the electorate regarding accountability for past actions at the highest levels of government.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"941\" height=\"365\" src=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-7.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23477\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-7.png 941w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-7-600x233.png 600w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-7-768x298.png 768w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-7-18x7.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 941px) 100vw, 941px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-main-electoral-groups\"><strong>Principali gruppi elettorali<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Per comprendere pi\u00f9 a fondo la base di sostegno dei candidati, \u00e8 essenziale esaminare gli interessi dei principali gruppi elettorali.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Joseph Biden<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignright size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"487\" height=\"366\" src=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-8.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23478\" style=\"width:424px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-8.png 487w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-8-16x12.png 16w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 487px) 100vw, 487px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Biden is relying heavily on key electoral groups for support, including the black population, where approximately 76% are poised to vote for the incumbent president. Additionally, citizens of Latin American origin are showing a notable level of support at 53%, while the youth demographic aged 18-29 stands at 63%, and women at 52%. These figures, albeit slightly lower than those seen in the 2020 election, were instrumental in securing Biden&#8217;s victory. The primary concerns shaping citizens&#8217; views on the president&#8217;s policy predominantly revolve around economic matters, given widespread dissatisfaction with the current state of the economy. When examining women as a significant electoral group, it&#8217;s noteworthy that those prioritizing the issue of abortion tend to support Democratic Party candidates, while women whose focus lies on economic issues lean towards endorsing Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Another electoral group whose support Joe Biden can garner includes representatives of the black population and citizens of Latin American origin. However, as previously mentioned, their percentage of support is somewhat diminished compared to the 2020 election. This decline can be attributed to widespread dissatisfaction with the president&#8217;s domestic policy, particularly regarding the perceived low likelihood of improving the financial situation of the population during his next presidential term. Furthermore, Biden\u2019s immigration policy and the instability on the Mexican border may pose a significant challenge to him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The war between Israel and Hamas and the United States&#8217; pro-Israeli policy has sparked dissatisfaction with the current administration among some young people aged 18 to 29. The state of Michigan provides a particularly striking example, where during the Democratic primaries, over 100,000 citizens, constituting 13% of those who voted, opted for &#8220;uncommitted&#8221; on their ballots, effectively expressing protest against Biden&#8217;s candidacy. This protest was orchestrated through the mobilization of citizen groups, notably within the Arab and Muslim communities, which wield significant influence in Michigan. Such activism presents a notable challenge for the incumbent president, given that Michigan is one of the pivotal swing states that often determine the outcome of the presidential election. It is noteworthy that Biden secured victory in Michigan in 2020, whereas Trump carried the state in 2016, rendering the situation highly unpredictable and potentially perilous for the Democrats. The events in Michigan have catalyzed similar actions in other states, such as Minnesota, where 19% of Democrats voted &#8220;uncommitted&#8221; in the Democratic primaries.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignleft size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"553\" height=\"311\" src=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-9.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23479\" style=\"width:333px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-9.png 553w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-9-18x10.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 553px) 100vw, 553px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>People spotted with the &#8216;Vote<\/em><br><em> Uncommitted&#8217; signs during an<\/em><br><em> riunione nella notte elettorale<\/em><br><em> del voto uncommitted a Dearborn, Michigan, 27 febbraio <\/em> <em>2024. Fonte: Reuters<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c8 fondamentale tenere presente che il sostegno a Israele riveste grande importanza nel Partito Repubblicano, forse persino pi\u00f9 che nel Partito Democratico. L\u2019ex presidente Donald Trump non ha espresso pubblicamente simpatia per le rivendicazioni palestinesi n\u00e9 indicato la volont\u00e0 di esercitare maggiore pressione su Israele affinch\u00e9 accetti un cessate il fuoco, n\u00e9 ha rivendicato il proprio sostegno a Israele.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nel complesso, nonostante la grande attenzione riservata al conflitto Israele-Hamas, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.haaretz.com\/us-news\/2024-01-09\/ty-article-magazine\/.premium\/pro-palestinian-americans-explain-why-biden-has-already-lost-their-vote\/0000018c-e983-df6f-ad8e-e9e7ca0d0000\">gli esperti sostengono<\/a> that the majority of American voters prioritize domestic political issues, with foreign policy traditionally playing a less pivotal role in their decision-making process. While the conflict may have a notable impact on the voting behavior of Arab-Americans and certain left-leaning youth, it is unlikely to be the decisive factor for the broader electorate. Nevertheless, it is widely believed that due to the current president&#8217;s precarious standing, he may struggle to regain the support of voters he has lost.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Donald Trump<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignright size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"496\" height=\"372\" src=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-11.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23481\" style=\"width:423px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-11.png 496w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-11-16x12.png 16w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 496px) 100vw, 496px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Continuing the discussion on how the Israel-Palestine conflict impacts the U.S. election campaign, the Republican Party is employing various tactics to capitalize on dissatisfaction with Biden&#8217;s actions. However, Trump&#8217;s rhetoric appears somewhat ambiguous: while criticizing the president&#8217;s handling of the situation, he claims he would have prevented the conflict if he were currently in the White House. Meanwhile, he has also emerged as one of the most pro-Israel presidents during his tenure, marked by the relocation of the U.S. embassy to Jerusalem. However, he is characterized by the opposition to any U.S. intervention in foreign conflicts, which aligns with his isolationist ideology.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In summarizing this topic, it&#8217;s important to recognize that widespread dissatisfaction with Biden&#8217;s handling of the Israel-Palestine situation won&#8217;t necessarily benefit Trump, yet could still pose challenges for the Democratic candidate&#8217;s electoral prospects. A key consideration is that voters who are disenchanted with the president&#8217;s approach might opt not to vote altogether or could choose a third-party candidate. This dynamic is particularly concerning in six pivotal swing states, including Michigan, with its significant group of Arab origin, as well as Arizona and Pennsylvania, which are characterized by a number of voters of Jewish descent. The problem is that not all Jewish citizens support Israel&#8217;s actions, nor do they endorse Biden&#8217;s policies, so a small shift in their general election choice could cost the incumbent president statewide votes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Returning to the topic of electoral demographics, it&#8217;s evident that a significant portion of Donald Trump&#8217;s support base comprises white individuals, particularly those without higher education degrees. Conversely, citizens with higher levels of education and more progressive leanings are more inclined to align their votes with Joe Biden. Men represent another substantial segment of Trump&#8217;s voter base, while a considerable portion of women, particularly those critical of Trump&#8217;s controversial attitudes toward women and his stance on issues like abortion, tend to favor Biden. Recent statistics indicate that 58% of voters aged 65 and above are inclined to support the former president, although there are indications that support for Biden among this demographic may be on the rise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Once again, the economic factor emerges as a pivotal consideration, commanding attention from a substantial portion of American citizens. Recent statistics underscore this sentiment, revealing that 65% of voters perceived the economic landscape as relatively favorable during Trump&#8217;s presidency. In contrast, only 38% hold a similar view regarding the economy under Biden&#8217;s leadership. Moreover, when it comes to domestic policies, a notable divergence in public opinion is evident. Approximately 46% of voters regard Trump&#8217;s domestic policies as generally beneficial, contrasting with just 33% who express a comparable assessment of Biden&#8217;s initiatives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Overall, women and suburbanites are quite problematic for Trump&#8217;s electoral prospects. Traditionally, Republicans have garnered support in rural regions, while Democrats have maintained a stronghold in urban centers. However, predicting the inclinations of suburban residents has proven to be more intricate. Notably, they emerged as a primary focus of both parties&#8217; political campaigns in 2024. In 2020, Biden successfully secured majority support in the suburbs, a feat Trump did not achieve in 2016. This shift underscores the evolving dynamics within suburban demographics and highlights the increasing importance of this demographic group in shaping electoral outcomes. In general, suburbanites are more likely to possess college degrees, a demographic characteristic that often aligns them with Democratic sympathies. However, it&#8217;s intriguing to note that individuals with higher education residing in urban areas constituted a significant portion of Nikki Haley&#8217;s support base. Following her withdrawal from the candidacy and her decision not to openly endorse Trump, both presumptive nominees intensified efforts to court this segment of American society. Presently, Biden holds a slight edge over Trump in key suburban demographics. Among college-educated adults, Biden boasts a 46.6% approval rating, whereas Trump&#8217;s approval rating stands at just 39.7%. Consequently, some experts argue that success among suburbanites could emerge as a decisive factor in determining the victory of either candidate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As for Nikki Haley, who withdrew from the presidential race without publicly endorsing Trump, the interesting thing is that a large part of her electorate will probably vote against Donald Trump. The Emerson College poll found that 63% of Haley supporters opt for Biden, while only 27% said they would vote for Trump and 10% were undecided. Because of this, Biden&#8217;s team is actively working to secure as much support for him as possible from those who wanted to cast their vote for Haley.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-opinion-of-the-main-electoral-groups-regarding-aid-to-ukraine\"><strong>L\u2019opinione dei principali gruppi elettorali sugli aiuti all\u2019Ucraina<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"771\" height=\"588\" src=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-12.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23483\" style=\"width:724px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-12.png 771w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-12-600x458.png 600w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-12-768x586.png 768w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-12-16x12.png 16w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 771px) 100vw, 771px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>L\u2019opinione dei principali gruppi elettorali sugli aiuti all\u2019Ucraina. Fonte: GALLUP<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I dati complessivi sul sostegno dell\u2019opinione pubblica americana all\u2019Ucraina variano, soprattutto in base all\u2019affiliazione politica, alla razza e all\u2019et\u00e0.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In media, gli individui che ritengono insufficienti gli aiuti degli Stati Uniti tendono a essere pi\u00f9 istruiti, pi\u00f9 benestanti e pi\u00f9 anziani rispetto a coloro che considerano il livello attuale adeguato o eccessivo. Inoltre, le donne e gli intervistati bianchi esprimono generalmente un maggiore sostegno all\u2019Ucraina rispetto agli uomini e agli intervistati provenienti da altri gruppi razziali ed etnici.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le opinioni sulla misura in cui gli Stati Uniti dovrebbero sostenere l\u2019Ucraina variano maggiormente in base all\u2019affiliazione politica. Secondo The Washington Post, pi\u00f9 del 75% dei Democratici sostiene l\u2019Ucraina nella guerra contro la Russia, mentre solo poco pi\u00f9 della met\u00e0 dei Repubblicani condivide la stessa opinione.<br><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1257\" height=\"541\" src=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-14.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23485\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-14.png 1257w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-14-600x258.png 600w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-14-1024x441.png 1024w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-14-768x331.png 768w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-14-18x8.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1257px) 100vw, 1257px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Dove si collocano le simpatie nella guerra Russia-Ucraina (per et\u00e0 e affiliazione politica). Aprile 2022, feb 2023 e gen 2024. Fonte: YouGov-Economist\/The Washington Post<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-ukraine-in-the-election-campaign\"><strong>L\u2019Ucraina nella campagna elettorale<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c8 noto che la politica estera non \u00e8 mai stata il criterio in base al quale i cittadini americani si orientano durante le elezioni. Inoltre, una parte significativa della popolazione non conosce sufficientemente la politica estera degli Stati Uniti e non le attribuisce grande importanza. Di conseguenza, il tema dell\u2019Ucraina non riceve grande attenzione nelle campagne elettorali dei principali candidati.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For the administration of Joseph Biden, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine represents a significant test, as it underscores the United States&#8217; capacity to address violations of international law and uphold universal principles of the modern world order on the global stage. The central themes of the campaign emphasize the current president&#8217;s commitment to defending democracy and human rights worldwide, as well as his dedication to supporting American allies in the face of threats posed by revisionist states like Russia. President Biden addresses the threat Russia poses to Europe and, by extension, to the United States, which has pledged to uphold European security under the NATO founding treaty. This messaging underscores the administration&#8217;s focus on safeguarding global stability and reinforcing the transatlantic alliance in the face of geopolitical challenges.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Furthermore, the president consistently underscores the tangible benefits derived by the United States from its support of Ukraine. These advantages include the erosion of the military and economic capabilities of a hostile state, which poses a potential threat to American national security. Notably, these efforts are conducted within the territory of another sovereign state without the direct involvement of American soldiers. Furthermore, over 90% of the financial and military assistance allocated to Ukraine ultimately circulates back to the United States. These funds are utilized to initiate the production of weaponry, thereby contributing to the replenishment of the American arsenal. This investment, equivalent to only 0.32% of U.S. GDP, not only fortifies the nation&#8217;s security but also stimulates job creation within the defense industry, fostering economic growth and bolstering domestic stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Inoltre, secondo il Chicago Council on Global Affairs, una consistente maggioranza dei cittadini americani, 6 su 10 (58%), approva la prosecuzione degli aiuti all\u2019Ucraina. Sebbene le statistiche varino tra Democratici, Repubblicani ed elettori indipendenti, in tutti i casi oltre il 50% dei cittadini \u00e8 favorevole a continuare a sostenere l\u2019Ucraina nel conflitto con la Russia. In particolare, il 60% degli intervistati ritiene che l\u2019assistenza americana all\u2019Ucraina sia importante per la sicurezza nazionale e sia in linea con gli interessi degli Stati Uniti.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"739\" height=\"562\" src=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-15.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23486\" style=\"width:655px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-15.png 739w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-15-600x456.png 600w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/image-15-16x12.png 16w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 739px) 100vw, 739px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Sostegno dell\u2019opinione pubblica americana all\u2019invio di armi all\u2019Ucraina. Fonte: Chicago Council on Global Affairs \/ Ipsos<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It is indeed crucial to acknowledge that support for Ukraine within American society is diminishing over time, a trend substantiated by statistical evidence. Statements issued by Donald Trump, the radical right wing of the Republican Party, and other public figures and politicians who exploit anti-Ukrainian rhetoric for their political agendas exert a considerable influence on public opinion. Although the former president hasn&#8217;t extensively addressed Ukraine, the few statements he has made appear manipulative and lacking in clarity, making it challenging to draw definitive conclusions about potential White House policies regarding Ukraine should Trump be elected as the forty-seventh president of the United States.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">One of the most notable instances was Trump&#8217;s promise in May 2023 to halt the war in Ukraine within 24 hours by exerting pressure on both sides and compelling them to engage in negotiations. However, he did not provide specifics on how this could be achieved. Experts speculate that Trump would attempt to pressure Kyiv by abruptly cutting off all aid. Furthermore, Trump&#8217;s direct influence on the delay in the adoption of the military aid package to Ukraine by the US Congress, along with his exertion of pressure on certain representatives of Congress, has had an extremely adverse impact on public opinion in the USA. A significant portion of Trump&#8217;s supporters, particularly among the so-called MAGA movement, staunchly oppose providing any aid to Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pi\u00f9 di recente, Trump ha iniziato a chiedere che gli aiuti finanziari e militari all\u2019Ucraina siano concessi a credito. Questa posizione ha raccolto il sostegno di molti Repubblicani e di un piccolo numero di Democratici. Essi sperano che questo approccio faciliti finalmente l\u2019approvazione di questa decisione cruciale, bloccata al Congresso da mesi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">All of this suggests that even minor mentions of Ukrainian issues in a negative context or the implementation of certain manipulations strongly influence both public opinion and the provision of American aid to Ukraine. One way or another, the American public will not elect a president based on his foreign policy, but manipulations on this topic undermine Ukraine&#8217;s image and, accordingly, its ability to resist an aggressor on the battlefield, which directly affects the course of the war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading translation-block\" id=\"h-conclusions\"><strong>Conclusioni<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sulla base delle informazioni sopra esposte, si pu\u00f2 dedurre che il sostegno pubblico all\u2019Ucraina negli Stati Uniti sia fortemente influenzato da vari fattori demografici e ideologici, tra cui affiliazione politica, et\u00e0, razza, istruzione e collocazione geografica. In particolare, le opinioni sulla prosecuzione degli aiuti degli Stati Uniti all\u2019Ucraina mostrano una significativa polarizzazione basata su questi fattori, guidata soprattutto dall\u2019allineamento politico degli elettori americani. Tale polarizzazione \u00e8 ulteriormente aggravata dall\u2019inserimento della questione ucraina nelle campagne elettorali dei candidati alla presidenza degli Stati Uniti, sebbene in misura piuttosto limitata.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The utilization of the Ukraine topic for political purposes has led to numerous manipulations, potentially undermining the level of support for Ukraine. There is a distinct possibility that such political maneuvering may contribute to a significant decrease in public support over time. Moreover, political battles over aid to Ukraine will likely persist until the general elections in November 2024, a scenario that is not conducive to Ukraine&#8217;s interests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\"><em>Avvertenza: le opinioni, i pensieri e i giudizi espressi negli articoli pubblicati su questo sito appartengono esclusivamente agli autori e non necessariamente al Centro per il Dialogo Transatlantico, ai suoi comitati o alle organizzazioni a esso affiliate. Gli articoli mirano a stimolare il dialogo e la discussione e non rappresentano posizioni politiche ufficiali del Centro per il Dialogo Transatlantico n\u00e9 di altre organizzazioni alle quali gli autori possano essere associati.<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key takeaways The election campaign in the United States is currently in full swing, with candidates vying for attention and support across the nation. As the primaries progress, it appears increasingly probable that we may witness a rematch between former President Trump and incumbent President Biden in the November 2024 general election. Moreover, President Biden [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":23489,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[64,59,13,31,61,56],"tags":[],"topic":[99,111,93,86,95],"class_list":["post-23474","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-central-eastern-europe-ger-analyses","category-eng-central-eastern-europe","category-en-analyses","category-ger-analyses","category-north-america-ger-analyses","category-eng-north-america","topic-disinformation","topic-elections","topic-geopolitics","topic-ukraine","topic-usa"],"mb":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.6 (Yoast SEO v25.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Ukraine in the Pre-Election Campaign in the United States<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The 2024 pre-election analysis compared 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