{"id":2261,"date":"2022-03-24T21:45:29","date_gmt":"2022-03-24T19:45:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/?p=2261"},"modified":"2025-08-21T14:52:28","modified_gmt":"2025-08-21T11:52:28","slug":"the-russian-army-is-choosing-the-trench-warfare-tactics-in-the-occupied-territories-of-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/it\/2022\/03\/24\/the-russian-army-is-choosing-the-trench-warfare-tactics-in-the-occupied-territories-of-ukraine\/","title":{"rendered":"L\u2019esercito russo sceglie la tattica della \u201cguerra di trincea\u201d nei territori occupati dell\u2019Ucraina"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ci\u00f2 pu\u00f2 modificare e rimodellare le tattiche di combattimento, protraendo a lungo le ostilit\u00e0. In questo caso, l\u2019economia russa entrer\u00e0 in un\u2019ulteriore recessione e saranno introdotte nuove sanzioni, in particolare contro le riserve auree e valutarie della Federazione Russa, pari a 132 miliardi di dollari. Per prolungare la guerra, la Russia inventer\u00e0 un pretesto per giustificare la mobilitazione totale, poich\u00e9 le risorse umane impiegate nella guerra contro l\u2019Ucraina si stanno rapidamente esaurendo.
Se la Russia opter\u00e0 per una guerra prolungata, la campagna di semina in Ucraina sar\u00e0 compromessa. Gi\u00e0 ora \u00e8 impossibile svolgere i lavori agricoli nei volumi consueti, e l\u2019espansione della geografia delle ostilit\u00e0, inevitabile in tale scenario, metter\u00e0 a rischio la sicurezza del raccolto. Pertanto, gi\u00e0 quest\u2019anno il mondo dovr\u00e0 affrontare un grave problema di sicurezza alimentare e alcuni Paesi saranno sull\u2019orlo della fame.<\/p>\n\n\n\n


Minaccia di contaminazione radioattiva dell\u2019Europa. La Russia combatte nei pressi della centrale nucleare di Chernobyl e, a causa dei bombardamenti, continuano gli incendi nelle foreste radioattive. Gi\u00e0 ora la concentrazione di cesio e stronzio nella regione di Kyiv supera i limiti consentiti. Il Cremlino espone l\u2019intera umanit\u00e0 a un rischio senza precedenti, senza rendersi conto delle possibili conseguenze.
Russia is desperately looking for an excuse that will justify a nation-wide mobilization. This could be a provocation with chemical weapons, a terrorist attack or a massive shelling, the blame for which will be laid on Ukraine. Russia wants mass casualties among the Russians: their number should amount to hundreds or thousands – and it can decide on this bloody crime in order to continue the war.
Si sta profilando una frattura all\u2019interno dell\u2019\u00e9lite dirigente russa. Il Cremlino si \u00e8 spinto troppo oltre nella sua sanguinosa avventura militare e Putin cercher\u00e0 inevitabilmente i colpevoli. In particolare, \u00e8 ampiamente discussa la scomparsa dagli schermi televisivi del ministro della Difesa della Federazione Russa S. Shoigu. Si ritiene che nel prossimo futuro in Russia vi saranno licenziamenti di massa dei responsabili delle strutture e delle unit\u00e0 militari direttamente o indirettamente coinvolte nella guerra contro l\u2019Ucraina. In ogni caso, ci\u00f2 comporter\u00e0 cambiamenti nella natura delle ostilit\u00e0 e, forse, del dialogo politico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n


Russia will gradually intensify censorship, suppress glasnost and freethinking. The current socio-political situation in the Russian Federation contributes to its transformation into the USSR analogue during the reign of N. Khrushchov, when there were significant internal repressions and direct confrontation with the West at the global level. Putin had initially underestimated the West’s response to its aggression against Ukraine and has now decided to go all the way until either the outcome of the war desired by the Kremlin is achieved or he suffers losses that would make it unable to continue the war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n


The countries of Eastern Europe are in the greatest danger of starting a real war since 1945, especially Poland, the Baltic States and Moldova. The Russian military strategy envisages attacking NATO supply chains with military assistance for Ukraine, as well as the deployment of Russian troops at the border with Transnistria. Russia wants to completely cut off Ukraine from the sea and create a quasi-state from the PMR to Kharkov. If this succeeds, the Russians would create a provocation to justify their invasion of Moldova and Romania with further access to Bulgaria. Putin set out to return to Moscow’s control those countries that were once in the orbit of influence of the Russian Empire\/USSR.<\/p>\n\n\n\n


La Russia ricorre sistematicamente a menzogne e disinformazione. Contrariamente alle parole di Putin, secondo cui \u201cla Russia non mira a occupare il territorio dell\u2019Ucraina\u201d, le azioni delle truppe russe costituiscono una classica occupazione e creano le condizioni necessarie per integrare rapidamente i territori occupati nei settori economico, logistico, scientifico, educativo e informativo della Federazione Russa. Il Cremlino ricorre alla stessa vecchia tattica dell\u2019Impero russo: il progressivo assorbimento dei territori adiacenti. Lo stesso scenario attende la Polonia, gli Stati baltici e la Moldavia se l\u2019aggressione militare russa si estender\u00e0 a questi Paesi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n


China’s tactic is to wait until a winner is decided. The PRC will voice pro-Russian narratives, but will not openly support the Kremlin. Beijing is interested in weakening both Russia and the West, and war is the perfect geopolitical storm.<\/p>\n\n\n\n


The Russian economy is facing the next stage of decline. It is predicted that the Russian economy will gradually return to the state of the 90s after the collapse of the USSR. All efforts will be directed towards the self-sufficient, and in those areas where this is impossible – towards refusal. At the same time, in case of \u201cfreezing\u201d of the war, some Western companies will try to find a loopholes to return to Russia.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

This can change, reshape the tactics of hostilities, causing their long, protracted nature. In this case, the Russian economy will find itself in further recession, new sanctions will be introduced, in particular, against the gold and foreign exchange reserves of the Russian Federation worth 132 billion dollars. In order to prolong the war, Russia will […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2262,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13,31],"tags":[],"topic":[],"class_list":["post-2261","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-en-analyses","category-ger-analyses"],"mb":[],"yoast_head":"\nRussia\u2019s Trench Warfare in Occupied Ukraine | TDC<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Russia\u2019s shift toward trench warfare risked prolonging the invasion, deepening sanctions and recession, and disrupting Ukraine\u2019s agricultural production.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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