{"id":44928,"date":"2025-12-29T18:07:25","date_gmt":"2025-12-29T16:07:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/?tdc-native-operation=tdc-33548-3093cf708a529501db17&amp;locale=fr_FR"},"modified":"2026-10-01T13:54:37","modified_gmt":"2026-10-01T10:54:37","slug":"maksym-chebotarov-pour-beijing-news-labsence-de-treve-de-noel-reste-t-il-encore-des-variables","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/fr\/2025\/12\/29\/maksym-chebotarov-pour-beijing-news-labsence-de-treve-de-noel-reste-t-il-encore-des-variables\/","title":{"rendered":"Maksym Chebotarov pour Beijing News : l\u2019absence de \u00ab tr\u00eave de No\u00ebl \u00bb : reste-t-il encore des variables ?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dans une interview accord\u00e9e \u00e0 <em>Beijing News<\/em>, Maksym Chebotarov, coordinateur du Programme de partenariat \u00c9tats-Unis\u2013Ukraine au Transatlantic Dialogue Center (TDC), a comment\u00e9 l\u2019absence de perc\u00e9es autour de la pr\u00e9tendue \u00ab tr\u00eave de No\u00ebl \u00bb et expos\u00e9 l\u2019importance du plan de paix actualis\u00e9 en 20 points dans le contexte des n\u00e9gociations en cours entre l\u2019Ukraine, les \u00c9tats-Unis et la Russie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Chebotarov a soulign\u00e9 que les pourparlers de Miami\/Floride, malgr\u00e9 les \u00e9valuations publiques positives des parties les qualifiant de \u00ab productifs et constructifs \u00bb, n\u2019ont pas g\u00e9n\u00e9r\u00e9 de valeur ajout\u00e9e. Auparavant, des d\u00e9clarations optimistes avaient \u00e9t\u00e9 faites par l\u2019envoy\u00e9 sp\u00e9cial am\u00e9ricain Steve Witkoff, le principal n\u00e9gociateur ukrainien Rustem Umerov et l\u2019envoy\u00e9 sp\u00e9cial du pr\u00e9sident russe pour les investissements \u00e9trangers et la coop\u00e9ration \u00e9conomique, Kirill Dmitriev. Chebotarov estime que le format actuel des n\u00e9gociations s\u2019apparente davantage \u00e0 une diplomatie de navette, Washington jouant le r\u00f4le principal de m\u00e9diateur, tandis qu\u2019un r\u00e8glement de paix global demeure hors de port\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"900\" height=\"504\" src=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-9.png\" alt=\"Image de couverture pour : Maksym Chebotarov pour Beijing News : l\u2019absence de \u00ab tr\u00eave de No\u00ebl \u00bb : reste-t-il encore des variables ?\" class=\"wp-image-33556\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-9.png 900w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-9-600x336.png 600w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-9-768x430.png 768w, https:\/\/tdcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-9-18x10.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 900px) 100vw, 900px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Selon Chebotarov, le plan de paix publi\u00e9 en 20 points est une version condens\u00e9e des propositions am\u00e9ricaines pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes et sert actuellement de cadre de base plut\u00f4t que d\u2019accord international \u00e0 part enti\u00e8re. Il a soulign\u00e9 que le document est principalement de nature conceptuelle et n\u00e9cessite un travail d\u2019approfondissement rigoureux, notamment en ce qui concerne les m\u00e9canismes de mise en \u0153uvre et la validit\u00e9 juridique.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Chebotarov a en outre soulign\u00e9 que la nouvelle version du plan ne comprend pas d\u2019exigence visant \u00e0 inscrire juridiquement le refus de l\u2019Ukraine d\u2019adh\u00e9rer \u00e0 l\u2019OTAN. Parall\u00e8lement, des discussions portent sur l\u2019inclusion d\u2019un document distinct \u2013 un accord entre la Russie et les \u00c9tats-Unis \u2013 stipulant que l\u2019OTAN ne s\u2019\u00e9largira plus ni n\u2019invitera l\u2019Ukraine \u00e0 la rejoindre. Il a averti que les accords relatifs au d\u00e9ploiement de troupes de l\u2019OTAN sur le territoire ukrainien conclus en dehors du consensus plus large de tous les membres de l\u2019OTAN pourraient avoir une l\u00e9gitimit\u00e9 juridique douteuse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Chebotarov a relev\u00e9 que le \u00ab plan de paix \u00bb constitue un processus de paix global et ne peut donc \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9 comme un accord que si toutes les questions sont convenues. Comme le soulignent les n\u00e9gociateurs ukrainiens, \u00ab Ce qui devait de toute fa\u00e7on \u00eatre convenu a \u00e9t\u00e9 convenu \u00bb \u2013 c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire les \u00e9l\u00e9ments non controvers\u00e9s, tels que la reconnaissance de la souverainet\u00e9 et la n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 d\u2019un mod\u00e8le de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 renouvel\u00e9 pour l\u2019Ukraine. Toutefois, des questions urgentes subsistent, notamment le statut et les modalit\u00e9s pratiques de l\u2019exploitation de la centrale nucl\u00e9aire de Zaporijjia, l\u2019avenir des avoirs russes gel\u00e9s, le statut de la langue russe et de l\u2019\u00c9glise, et bien d\u2019autres. Chebotarov a accord\u00e9 une attention particuli\u00e8re \u00e0 la question territoriale, en particulier au Donbass, qui demeure un point de discorde majeur. Il a soulign\u00e9 que les id\u00e9es relatives \u00e0 une \u00e9ventuelle zone \u00e9conomique franche ou \u00e0 des zones d\u00e9militaris\u00e9es n\u2019ont pas encore de param\u00e8tres convenus et ne peuvent \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9es comme une base pour une cessation rapide des hostilit\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Chebotarov estime qu\u2019au vu des informations actuellement diffus\u00e9es par la partie russe, la Russie est susceptible de continuer \u00e0 se battre pour les territoires, ce qui pourrait entra\u00eener la prolongation continue des n\u00e9gociations et des consultations diplomatiques dans un contexte de confrontation militaire persistante. C\u2019est ce qu\u2019on appelle \u00ab parler tout en combattant \u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En conclusion, Chebotarov a soulign\u00e9 qu\u2019en l\u2019absence d\u2019accord sur les principales questions politiques \u2014 avant tout le r\u00e8glement territorial et les garanties de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 pour l\u2019Ukraine \u2014 l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2026 sera tr\u00e8s probablement marqu\u00e9e par des n\u00e9gociations cycliques et une diplomatie de navette plut\u00f4t que par un accord de paix global.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lisez l\u2019article complet <a href=\"https:\/\/m.bjnews.com.cn\/detail\/1766754187169102.html\">via le lien<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dans une interview accord\u00e9e \u00e0 Beijing News, Maksym Chebotarov, coordinateur du Programme de partenariat \u00c9tats-Unis\u2013Ukraine au Transatlantic Dialogue Center (TDC), a comment\u00e9 l\u2019absence de perc\u00e9es autour de la pr\u00e9tendue \u00ab tr\u00eave de No\u00ebl \u00bb et expos\u00e9 l\u2019importance du plan de paix actualis\u00e9 en 20 points dans le contexte des n\u00e9gociations en cours entre l\u2019Ukraine, les [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":33556,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[29,106],"tags":[],"topic":[],"class_list":["post-44928","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-media","category-us-ukraine-partnership-program-media"],"mb":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.6 (Yoast SEO v25.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>L\u2019absence de \u00ab tr\u00eave de No\u00ebl \u00bb : reste-t-il encore des variables ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pour Beijing News, Maksym Chebotarov a \u00e9voqu\u00e9 l\u2019\u00e9chec de la tr\u00eave 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